Reply to: Humans are not automatically strategic
[Why] do many people go through long training programs “to make money” without spending a few hours doing salary comparisons ahead of time? Why do many who type for hours a day remain two-finger typists, without bothering with a typing tutor program? Why do people spend their Saturdays “enjoying themselves” without bothering to track which of their habitual leisure activities are *actually* enjoyable? Why do even unusually numerate people fear illness, car accidents, and bogeymen, and take safety measures, but not bother to look up statistics on the relative risks?
I wanted to give a practical approach to avoiding these errors. So, I came up with the following two lists. To use these properly, write down your answers; written language is a better idea encoding tool than short-term memory, in my experience, and being able to compare your notes to your actual thinking sometime later is useful.
Goal Accuracy Checking
Reasoning behind these question choices:
Probability Reality Checks
As we all know, there are plenty of factors impeding rational decision-making in everyday life. We typically fall prey to our emotions or to common cognitive biases. In addition to learning about these, it is useful to write out the automatic thought process and to respond to it with rational responses on paper—an approach typically used by CBT.
Do you have any other recommendations? Please don't hesitate to post them in the comments, I am genuinely interested to see what works best for you, and will add more lists as seen fit.