crossposted from https://bengoldhaber.substack.com/p/are-there-examples-of-communities
Many of our biggest problems are collective reasoning problems. What policy are we going to adopt, what should our company build next, where are we all going to go eat lunch today? If we can use AI to reason better collectively, perhaps we can solve these (I fear that planning a lunch for over ten people is AGI complete)1.
Given that I’m interested in using AI to improve our epistemics, in particular improving our collective epistemics, I’m looking for places, particularly communities, that have started to adopt AI to improve how they know the world.
A great example would be a community where AI is embedded deeply into the way the group “knows things” or “makes decisions”. For instance:
Two almost examples:
But I don’t have many examples of communities that have adopted them. Communities are an interesting abstraction layer, in my opinion, when looking for adoption, because they are less prone to being “fake”. Communities, with most of us not being paid to participate in them, are more sensitive to whether the thing actually helps.
My best bet on where examples might be are in the forecasting community. I.e., active groups of forecasters on Manifold, Metaculus, Polymarket. In part because the groups are already organized around mechanism design, and in part they’re nearby to AI builders which makes them likely early adopters.
I’m most interested in examples that are not AI related. I’d be more impressed by an example of AI improving epistemics in a research community of geologists than one of AI researchers, because I worry the fan boy effect of being excited about AI doesn’t select well for actual usefulness.
I hope to build a “Where are We Going to Go to Lunch” benchmark, which will be the gold standard for whether your tool for thought actually solves a real coordination challenge AND people want to use this. If anyone actually wants to build this I’d probably pay you some number of dollars.