Looking back, it appears that much of my intellectual output could be described as legibilizing work, or trying to make certain problems in AI risk more legible to myself and others. I've organized the relevant posts and comments into the following list, which can also serve as a partial guide to problems that may need to be further legibilized, especially beyond LW/rationalists, to AI researchers, funders, company leaders, government policymakers, their advisors (including future AI advisors), and the general public.
Power corrupts (or reveals) (AI-granted power, e.g., over future space colonies or vast virtual environments, corrupting human values, or perhaps revealing a dismaying true nature)
Having written all this down in one place, it's hard not to feel some hopelessness that all of these problems can be made legible to the relevant people, even with a maximum plausible effort. Perhaps one source of hope is that they can be made legible to future AI advisors. As many of these problems are philosophical in nature, this seems to come back to the issue of AI philosophical competence that I've often talked about recently, which itself seems largely still illegible and hence neglected.
Perhaps it's worth concluding on a point from a discussion between @WillPetillo and myself under the previous post, that a potentially more impactful approach (compared to trying to make illegible problems more legible), is to make key decisionmakers realize that important safety problems illegible to themselves (and even to their advisors) probably exist, therefore it's very risky to make highly consequential decisions (such as about AI development or deployment) based only on the status of legible safety problems.
I'm pretty slow to realize these things, and I think other people are also slow, so the window is already almost closed. But in any case, my current thinking is that we need to start pushing on the big actors from outside, try to reduce their power. Trying to make them see the light is no longer enough.
What it means in practical terms: - Make it clear that we frown on people who choose to work for AI labs, even on alignment. This social pressure (on LW and related forums maybe) might already do some good. - Make it clear that we're allied with the relatively poor majority of people outside the labs, and in particular those who are already harmed by present harms. Make amends with folks on the left who have been saying such things for years. - Support protests against labs, support court cases against them having to do with e.g. web scraping, copyright infringement, misinformation, suicides. Some altruist money in this might go a long way. - Think more seriously about building organizations that will make AI power more spread out. Open source, open research, open training. Maybe some GPL-like scheme to guarantee that things don't get captured. We need to reduce concentration of power in the near term, enable more people to pose a challenge to the big actors. I understand it increases other risks, but in my opinion it's worth it.
Looking back, it appears that much of my intellectual output could be described as legibilizing work, or trying to make certain problems in AI risk more legible to myself and others. I've organized the relevant posts and comments into the following list, which can also serve as a partial guide to problems that may need to be further legibilized, especially beyond LW/rationalists, to AI researchers, funders, company leaders, government policymakers, their advisors (including future AI advisors), and the general public.
Having written all this down in one place, it's hard not to feel some hopelessness that all of these problems can be made legible to the relevant people, even with a maximum plausible effort. Perhaps one source of hope is that they can be made legible to future AI advisors. As many of these problems are philosophical in nature, this seems to come back to the issue of AI philosophical competence that I've often talked about recently, which itself seems largely still illegible and hence neglected.
Perhaps it's worth concluding on a point from a discussion between @WillPetillo and myself under the previous post, that a potentially more impactful approach (compared to trying to make illegible problems more legible), is to make key decisionmakers realize that important safety problems illegible to themselves (and even to their advisors) probably exist, therefore it's very risky to make highly consequential decisions (such as about AI development or deployment) based only on the status of legible safety problems.