Information abounds on how to prepare for earthquake or similar natural disasters: have pre-packed overnight bags, store extra water on premises, etc. Investing in a few small efforts can result in disproportionately positive outcomes should disaster seek you out.
Can you do the same thing with regards to potential world-ending AI doom scenarios? Timelines get shorter every day, advances are coming faster and faster, and it would seem – dare I say it – rational to actually make personal life changes to prepare your household for what is likely to come.
I have done some initial thinking on this myself, but wanted to provide at least a starting point for ideas and conversation. So first, a few thoughts on standard preparations:
Beyond this is where my certainty – and perhaps committment – wavers.
Financial Planning
Up until this point in my life I've followed standard advice for financial planning. I've been well to-do, and planned to retire early with significant savings. Even so, retirement is 10+ years out. If I discovered today that I had terminal cancer, there are many changes I would make to my lifestyle:
Well I haven't been diagnosed with cancer, but I do assign not insignificant >5% odds to AI FOOM within the next decades. Shouldn't I be applying the above points in some degree? Unfortunately, some of them are large binary choices that are hard to go back on later, and which I would regret if I were wrong. And if I do nothing, I risk squandering the short remaining time left to me.
Some half-baked ideas I have so far include: