03 June 2015 07:00:00PM (-0700)
11066 santa monica blvd, la, ca
How to Find Us: Go into this Del Taco. We will be in the back room if possible.
Parking is free in the lot out front or on the street nearby.
Discussion: The definition of bias in statistics is significantly different from the definition used on LessWrong. Why is this? What are the differences? It turns out that the scientific literature on biases uses multiple notions of bias. This muddies the research. Applying different statistical tools, psychologists can use the same dataset to "prove" that people are both overconfident and underconfident. This statistical phenomenon is closely related to why the tails come apart.
Why the Tails Come Apart
Simultaneous Overconfidence and Underconfidence (pdf)
What Exactly Is Bias
...What's a Bias, Again?
No prior exposure to Less Wrong is required; this will be generally accessible.