Elephant in the Brain convinced me that many things human say are not to convey information or achieve conscious goals; rather, we say things to signal status and establish social positioning. Here are three hypotheses for why the community focuses on AI that have nothing to do with the probability or impact of AI:
(Disclaimer: I personally don't worry about AI, am skeptical that AGI will happen in the next 100 years, am skeptical that AGI will take over Earth in under 100 years, but nonetheless recognize that these are more than 0% probable. I don't have a great mental model of why others disagree, but believe that it can be partly explained by software people being more optimistic than hardware people, since software people have experienced more amazing success in the past couple decades.)
If you think there's good information about bioengineered pandemics out there, what sources would you recommend?
Multiple LW surveys considered those to be a more likely Xrisk and if there would be a good way to spend Xrisk EA dollar I think it would be likely that the topic would get funding but currently there doesn't seem to be good targets.
Why does this community focus on AI over all other possible apocalypses? What about pandemics, runaway climate change, etc.?