But really my answer is "there are lots of ways you can get confidence in a thing that are not proofs".

Totally agree; it's an under-appreciated point!

Here's my counter-argument: we have no idea what epistemological principles explain this empirical observation. Therefor we don't actually know that the confidence we achieve in these ways is justified. So we may just be wrong to be confident in our ability to successfully board flights (etc.)

The epistemic/aleatory distinction is relevant here. Taking an expectation over both k... (read more)

AI Alignment Open Thread August 2019

by habryka 1 min read4th Aug 201996 comments


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Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual.

This is an experiment in having an Open Thread dedicated to AI Alignment discussion, hopefully enabling researchers and upcoming researchers to ask small questions they are confused about, share very early stage ideas and have lower-key discussions.