I think Christiano's idea sets us on the right path. One of the things that troubled me in reading Bostrom's book is the prospect that a superintelligence under human control could be at least as dangerous as an autonomous superintelligence. For example, if superintelligence were hatched by one of the competing military superpowers -- Russia, China, or the U.S., let's say -- as an oracle or genie, it might be used for short-sighted or selfish purposes with catastrophic consequences. With superintelligence on his side, the cartoon nightmare of a single man out to rule the world could, um, hardly be ruled out. Our knowledge of human nature gives us every reason to expect abuse. If, however, a superintelligence could be attuned to seeking approval from not just Hugh but humanity, that might have a very different and laudable result. With the proliferation of cell phones through nearly every part of the world (half of the African population is expected to have one by 2017), this opens the possibility that a superintelligence could seek the approval of a broad swath of humanity. Even better would be approval for decisions whose consequences are hidden behind a Rawlsian veil, so that people expressing an opinion cannot know whether they personally will be a winner or loser by the decision. Under such circumstances, people are, on average, remarkably fair. Still, there may be both practical and theoretical shortcomings to my suggestion. I'd welcome critiques.
The obvious problem is lack of human intelligence. Whether a majority of people on Earth will agree with some question the AI will ask them using the cell phone... it will depend on how specifically the question was framed.
Does it invoke popular applause lights? The majority will say "yes".
Is it complicated? The majority will say: "I do not understand the question." Now what? Does the majority of those who answered otherwise decide? Then, for sufficiently complicated questions the answers will be decided by people who are unable to see their own lack of understanding.
This is part of a weekly reading group on Nick Bostrom's book, Superintelligence. For more information about the group, and an index of posts so far see the announcement post. For the schedule of future topics, see MIRI's reading guide.
Welcome. This week we discuss the twenty-first section in the reading guide: Value learning.
This post summarizes the section, and offers a few relevant notes, and ideas for further investigation. Some of my own thoughts and questions for discussion are in the comments.
There is no need to proceed in order through this post, or to look at everything. Feel free to jump straight to the discussion. Where applicable and I remember, page numbers indicate the rough part of the chapter that is most related (not necessarily that the chapter is being cited for the specific claim).
Reading: “Value learning” from Chapter 12
Summary
Another view
Paul Christiano describes an alternative to loading values into an AI at all:
If this interests you, I recommend the much longer post, in which Christiano describes and analyzes the proposal in much more depth.
Notes
1. An analogy
An AI doing value learning is in a similar situation to me if I want to help my friend but don't know what she needs. Even though I don't know explicitly what I want to do, it is defined indirectly, so I can learn more about it. I would presumably follow my best guesses, while trying to learn more about my friend's actual situation and preferences. This is also what we hope the value learning AI will do.
2. Learning what to value
If you are interested in value learning, Dewey's paper is the main thing written on it in the field of AI safety.
3. Related topics
I mentioned inverse reinforcement learning and goal inference last time, but should probably have kept them for this week, to which they are more relevant. Preference learning is another related subfield of machine learning, and learning by demonstration is generally related. Here is a quadcopter using inverse reinforcement learning to infer what its teacher wants it to do. Here is a robot using goal inference to help someone build a toy.
4. Value porosity
Bostrom has lately written about a new variation on the Hail Mary approach, in which the AI at home is motivated to trade with foreign AIs (via everyone imagining each other's responses), and has preferences that are very cheap for foreign AIs to guess at and fulfil.
5. What's the difference between value learning and reinforcement learning?
We heard about reinforcement learning last week, and Bostrom found it dangerous. Since it also relies on teaching the AI values by giving it feedback, you might wonder how exactly the proposals relate to each other.
Suppose the owner of an AI repeatedly comments that various actions are 'friendly'. A reinforcement learner would perhaps care about hearing the word 'friendly' as much as possible. A value learning AI on the other hand would take use of the word 'friendly' as a clue about a hidden thing that it cares about. This means if the value learning AI could trick the person into saying 'friendly' more, this would be no help to it—the trick would just make the person's words a less good clue. The reinforcement learner on the other hand would love to get the person to say 'friendly' whenever possible. This difference also means the value learning AI might end up doing things which it does not expect its owner to say 'friendly' about, if it thinks those actions are supported by the values that it learned from hearing 'friendly'.
In-depth investigations
If you are particularly interested in these topics, and want to do further research, these are a few plausible directions, some inspired by Luke Muehlhauser's list, which contains many suggestions related to parts of Superintelligence. These projects could be attempted at various levels of depth.
How to proceed
This has been a collection of notes on the chapter. The most important part of the reading group though is discussion, which is in the comments section. I pose some questions for you there, and I invite you to add your own. Please remember that this group contains a variety of levels of expertise: if a line of discussion seems too basic or too incomprehensible, look around for one that suits you better!
Next week, we will talk about the two other ways to direct the values of AI. To prepare, read “Emulation modulation” through “Synopsis” from Chapter 12. The discussion will go live at 6pm Pacific time next Monday 9 February. Sign up to be notified here.