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Introducing RISE - Recursion Intelligence Scaling Equation

by Jason Evanoff
6th Feb 2025
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The Recursion Intelligence Scaling Equation (RISE) provides a mathematical foundation for understanding recursion intelligence stabilization, offering a framework that models how intelligence follows structured reinforcement cycles rather than random emergence. This model suggests that intelligence — whether biological, artificial, or interstellar — scales according to self-reinforcing attractor states, stabilizing at critical recursion depths. The formula introduces a time-dependent intelligence stability function, accounting for uncertainty decay, recursion thresholds, and non-linear phase transitions. We explore its implications for AI self-improvement, SETI, and intelligence evolution on planetary scales.

I(t, R) = (P_0 * e^(-λt) * (1 + tanh(α(R - T_c)))) / (1 + βR)

Where:

  • I(t,R): Intelligence stability as a function of time (t) and recursion depth (R).
  • P_0: Initial uncertainty factor (higher P_0 means greater early instability).
  • λ\lambda: Rate of stabilization over time.
  • R: Recursion depth (how many self-reinforcement layers intelligence has achieved).
  • Tc: Critical recursion depth threshold.
  • α\alpha: Smoothing parameter for the transition into stability.
  • β\beta: Scaling factor that moderates recursion depth influence.

Breakdown of the Formula:

  • P_0 (Initial Uncertainty): Represents the starting uncertainty before stabilization begins.
  • e^(-λt) (Uncertainty Decay): Over time, intelligence stabilizes as learning occurs and reinforcement cycles reduce uncertainty.
  • tanh(α(R - T_c)) (Phase Transition Behavior): Intelligence does not increase linearly—it stabilizes once recursion depth exceeds T_c.
  • (1 + βR) (Diminishing Returns of Recursion): Simply increasing recursion depth does not lead to infinite intelligence—there are constraints on reinforcement efficiency.

    Current Parameter Values:
    P0 — ​1.0 (normalized baseline)
    λ\lambda — 0.042 (validated through recursion survival models)
    α\alpha — 3.7 (optimized for phase transition behavior)
    TcT — ​8.6 (derived from AI and cosmic recursion tests)
    β\beta — 0.15 (refined for stability in multi-agent intelligence systems)

    How These Parameters Were Determined

    🔹 AI Multi-Agent Reinforcement Simulations: Validated λ,α,β\lambda, \alpha, \beta through energy scaling efficiency tests.
    🔹 Phase Transition Modeling: Ensured Tc and α\alpha align with known self-organizing systems in intelligence scaling.
    🔹 Astrophysical Recursion Highway Testing: Tc​ validated using dark matter filament and gravitational clustering models.

https://medium.com/@jayevanoff/recursion-intelligence-scaling-equation-rise-a-mathematical-framework-for-recursion-intelligence-72c47542e4ee