Meetup : Bath: Introduction and PredictionBook

by KnaveOfAllTrades1 min read10th Oct 20147 comments

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Discussion article for the meetup : Bath: Introduction and PredictionBook

WHEN: 19 October 2014 02:00:00PM (+0100)

WHERE: 5-10 James St W, Avon, Bath BA1 2BX

I'll be hosting a meetup for Bath, UK on Sunday 19th October at 14:00.
The meetup will be held at the King of Wessex, which is a Wetherspoons pub in the city. Start time is 14:00, and I'll wait at least ninety minutes after that for the first arrivals. I'll put a Less Wrong paperclip print-out on the table so you can identify me. In case you need to contact me (e.g. if the venue is unexpectedly busy and we have to move elsewhere and you can't find us), my mobile number is the product 3 x 3 x 23 x 97 x 375127, preceded by a zero (so eleven digits total). Since this is the first meetup, we'll start off with introductions and chit-chat. I will also formulate and bring along (but not check the veracity of) some propositions for us to place probabilities on, as calibration training. I recommend you create and play around with a PredictionBook account in advance of the meetup to get to grips with it and in case you have any questions about it we can discuss on the day. (Why not register right now? It only takes one or two minutes.) Bonus points if you bring a device to log your predictions on PredictionBook as we go along, and as a back-up in case my laptop dies. (The venue has free Wi-Fi that you can register for in a few minutes.)

Discussion article for the meetup : Bath: Introduction and PredictionBook

7 comments, sorted by Highlighting new comments since Today at 12:45 AM
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Heya, i'll likely be coming along on the 19th, see you then :)

Well, how did it go?

Thanks for reminding me to do a meetup report! I've added it at the end of the announcement for this Sunday's meetup. Let me know in the comments there whether you think you can still make it this weekend.

Sadly, I have moved away from the area, but I am pleased to learn that the tone of Wetherspoons will be improved!

Start time is 14:00, and I'll wait at least ninety minutes after that for the first arrivals.

Do you know for certain if anyone is going to turn up, or are you just hoping? I'm definitely in bath the following weekend, so if it was postponed a week you could at least have one person turn up for certain :)

Currently expecting at fewest two others with joint probability >70%, so I'll still do the original day. But I'll bear the next week in mind; we might do two weeks in a row.

Sorry, I'm actually in bath the weekend after that (oops). My use of the word 'definitely' seems to not have been properly probability-calibrated in this case.