Warning: extremely bleak views.
Why no one is talking about s-risks in the advent of non aligned AGI?
Why does Eliezer only say "either we do this, or we die".
I'm not that scared about paperclippers or grey goo. Death is a certainty of life. I'm way more scared about the electrode-produced smiley faces for eternity and the rest. That's way, way worse than dying.
And s-risks just info hazards? Is it just too much to handle for most people, so we should just not talk about it? Is that why Eliezer, Bostrom and almost everyone else never mention them?
So I pose these questions?
Is it possible to "know what we know" and have any sanity? How?
Is possible to "know what we know" and have any hope? How?
I'd like to have Paul Christiano's view that the "s-risk-risk" is 1/100 and that AGI is 30 years off, but I find that extremely naive. What about you? What are your timelines and s-risk-risk? Could AGI arrive tomorrow in its present state?
When Eliezer talks about "a miracle that would allows us to die with more dignity in the mainline". Maybe he's hinting at this questions...? Maybe a "more dignified death" is the only way out, as bleak as it sounds? Because I'm with him on not finding any hope on alignment.
What can I do as a 30 year old from Portugal with no STEM knowledge? Start learning math and work on alignment from home?
In short, I need some help here... Thanks in advance.