For the most part I agree with your opinion of technological advancement with 2 addendums. In reality it is nuanced but in my experience there are a lot of areas of low hanging fruit limited only by the number of well informed people interested in the subject. This is modified by access to capital. To me it seems a personality trait of well informed people, that they are not as interested in searching or building capital. Secondly, the regulatory environment, I strongly believe that regulation slows down both tech building and research in general, I also think that for the most part it is a necessary evil just that we should be able to acknowledge that it is a double edged sword. I think this leaves us in the STEM fields with the unfortunate truth that at the end day regardless of how efficient of a turbine you design or how clever of an app you dream up, if you cannot convince people to buy the darn thing it's an intellectual dead end.
I can't really engage with the main question of your post ie. which institutions should get access to a technology? I'll only add that I understand the support for the idea of free flow of information and also get that rosy philanthropic feeling but that ideas usually benefit from an early monopoly. The chance at a payoff someday channels capital which builds up to a point of ‘critical mass’ before it can displace the status quo. With this understanding, I would say that perhaps the best institutions are those with the capital and will to follow through on bringing a new technology to fruition. I am leaving out the hard decision if the technology poses a risk to humanity of course but that is above my paygrade I guess.
Also as an aside, what is your interpretation of the Bill Gates article? I see no particular evidence of a lack of physics knowledge, are you referring to the take about the water comments or? It's definitely not an in-depth description of the problems with PWRs or BWRs, but I think is an acceptable explanation of the advantages of using LMRs. Maybe there is some other comment I am missing, but it comes across as an easily accessible article written to persuade the layman of the benefits of his endeavor?
Anyway very interesting post overall, thanks for sharing your thoughts.
poor evidence
What would you consider good evidence?
Thinking about designs for new technology is something of a hobby of mine. For simple examples, you can see this battery design or some of my blog posts. Even if you can't come up with something useful (and you probably can't) having a problem in mind is a good way to guide your learning about a field.
Whether or not my designs are good isn't the point of this post. It's a general question about what LW members think that people outside major institutions should be working on, and who would deserve access to things if they were actually interested. (I'm just a generalist, as half-assed as Eratosthenes, but there are presumably people in some private communities as smart as me but specialized.)
It shouldn't be surprising that big companies and big university labs aren't that interested in pursuing outside ideas that they can't take credit for. Getting new ideas implemented requires specific conditions, which is why inventions don't usually get implemented until they're obvious enough that a bunch of people think of them. But before you start trying to find a way to get some institution to use your invention, you should probably figure out if you should be trying to give/sell it to that particular institution. What's the point of new technology if it just gives institutions more room to be corrupt, right? My view is that modern technology and weak competition have relaxed constraints on some institutions, and resulted in them being unusually bad by historical standards. For example:
This is a question I don't often see public debate about. Some people think of technological developments as natural events like rainstorms. Other people think of the progress of science as research in a Civilization game, where money and PhD-hours are used to fill up the requisite number of beakers with Science Fluid. But at least in my opinion, the limiting factor is usually "smart people trying to work on the problem", and smart people have some ability to decide what to work on.
Most of the time, when people suggest a topic to work on, one of the following applies:
Yes, forum-posters tend to suggest stupid stuff like "you should work on a nuclear reactor that uses thorium" or "try to find some single chemical that fixes aging". Most people don't understand the shape of the current technological frontier, let alone the shape of what's plausibly feasible, but let's be real: neither do the high-level officials and executives determining what programs to direct research money into. A vote to spend billions of dollars on something silly instead of hydrogen fuel research isn't really any worse, and at least it's democratic. And the people here are smart, right?
Anyway, I'm curious what technologies the people here think should get some more design work done, and what institutions they (you) think should get those designs if they were interested. Designing stuff is just a hobby of mine, but it's somehow more fun if it seems like somebody would deserve to have it. If you can't think of any technologies, here are some hypothetical examples: