Belief Update

Vladimir_Nesov (+26)
Vladimir_Nesov (+35) /* See also */
Vladimir_Nesov (+14) /* See also */
Vladimir_Nesov (+20/-128)
PeerInfinity (+70)
Vladimir_Nesov moved [[Update]] to [[Belief update]]: "Update" is too unspecific.
bjr (+85)
admin 4 revisions: migrate_wiki.py script
PeerInfinity
86.129.245.179 (+14/-22) oh, omegadammit, I am evidently incapable of remembering that entering wiki markup in the wysiwyg editor doesn't work.

What you do to your beliefs, opinions and cognitive structure when new informationevidence comes along.

See Alsoalso

References

Footnotes
Overcoming Bias Articles
Less Wrong Articles
Other Resources

See Also

References

Footnotes
Overcoming Bias Articles
Less Wrong Articles
Other Resources

[[Cox's theorem]]theorem says, roughly, that if your beliefs at any given time take the form of an assignment of a numerical "plausibility score" to every proposition, and if they satisfy a few plausible axioms, then your plausibilities must effectively be probabilities obeying the usual laws of probability theory, and your updating procedure must be the one implied by [[Bayes' theorem]]theorem.

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