LESSWRONG
LW

854
Rationality: A-Z

Overly Convenient Excuses

Aug 24, 2017 by Eliezer Yudkowsky

This sequence focuses on questions that are as probabilistically clear-cut as questions get. The Bayes-optimal answer is often infeasible to compute, but errors like confirmation bias can take root even in cases where the available evidence is overwhelming and we have plenty of time to think things over.

55Rationality: An Introduction
Rob Bensinger
11y
10
351Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger)
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
84
201The Proper Use of Humility
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
54
96Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
35
174The Third Alternative
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
86
100Lotteries: A Waste of Hope
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
73
133New Improved Lottery
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
45
133But There's Still A Chance, Right?
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
61
311The Fallacy of Gray
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
82
117Absolute Authority
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
78
161How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
410
93Infinite Certainty
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
130
1210 And 1 Are Not Probabilities
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
150
176Your Rationality is My Business
Eliezer Yudkowsky
19y
28