Overly Convenient Excuses

Aug 24, 2017

by Eliezer Yudkowsky

This sequence focuses on questions that are as probabilistically clear-cut as questions get. The Bayes-optimal answer is often infeasible to compute, but errors like confirmation bias can take root even in cases where the available evidence is overwhelming and we have plenty of time to think things over.

Rationality: An Introduction
104y8 min readShow Highlight
2
Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger)
14112y2 min readShow Highlight
76
The Proper Use of Humility
9812y4 min readShow Highlight
46
Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct
3712y1 min readShow Highlight
28
The Third Alternative
6412y3 min readShow Highlight
83
Lotteries: A Waste of Hope
3812y1 min readShow Highlight
73
New Improved Lottery
5312y2 min readShow Highlight
37
But There's Still A Chance, Right?
5311y2 min readShow Highlight
52
The Fallacy of Gray
12311y4 min readShow Highlight
78
Absolute Authority
5111y7 min readShow Highlight
73
How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3
6512y3 min readShow Highlight
396
Infinite Certainty
4111y4 min readShow Highlight
121
0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities
4111y4 min readShow Highlight
136
Your Rationality is My Business
7012y2 min readShow Highlight
26