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SHUT UP AND MULTIPLY — LessWrong

SHUT UP AND MULTIPLY

Mar 23, 2026 by Zach Stein-Perlman

You must wager. It is not optional.

I do prioritization research for AI safety philanthropy. Currently I focus on large-scale philanthropic opportunities like buying lots of compute during an intelligence explosion; previously I focused on AI safety in US politics. This sequence is mostly abstract stuff on prioritization and philanthropy/grantmaking, with some object-level prioritization takes.

163Some things I noticed while LARPing as a grantmaker

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65My cost-effectiveness unit

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28How to do cost-effectiveness analysis for elections

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29You can just multiply point estimates (if you only care about EV)

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35Stop asking "how good is this" to decide between donation opportunities I recommend

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74Nick Bostrom: How big is the cosmic endowment?

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37Considerations for growing the pie

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20Considerations against s-process philanthropy

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118SFF is very suboptimal

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36Current views on large-scale longtermist philanthropy

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48Most Anthropic equity that will ever be used for longtermist philanthropy should be sold ASAP and reinvested

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