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Two reasons: 1. Other investments can provide better returns, mostly via leverage. 2. The philanthropic portfolio is overexposed to Anthropic. A large fraction of the philanthropic portfolio is in Anthropic (and will be even after lockup ends). A marginal dollar is less valuable in worlds where longtermist philanthropists have more...
This post summarizes some of my views. It states uncertain things boldly in part to [surface disagreements / help readers point out things that seem wrong or missing]. Note that many things are uncertain and many claims are not justified here. One tl;dr: money is great even on the margin,...
Update: Ethan, who runs (SFC, the org that runs) SFF, replied here. I recently served as a recommender in SFF's annual funding round (grants will be decided and announced in September). I'm deeply grateful for SFF's funders, and I hope more AI safety donors appear in the future. Unfortunately, the...
I wrote this to help think through considerations. Now I decided to publish it. habryka left some comments on the google doc, some of which I copied here. One way to do philanthropy: > Foundation style. Start/pick a foundation or donation-advising-org. Give it money and high-level direction but defer to...
Suppose you reflect a bunch and land on a linear[1] utility function. Suppose in our universe, the most efficient way to increase your utility is creating many "widgets." We'll launch von Neumann probes to claim resources in distant galaxies. With your share of the lightcone, you can cause there to...
Recently some friends and I were comparing growing the pie interventions to an increasing our friends' share of the pie intervention, and at first we mostly missed some general considerations against the latter type. 1. Decision-theoretic considerations > The world is full of people with different values working towards their...
Superintelligence, pp. 122–3. 2014. Consider a technologically mature civilization capable of building sophisticated von Neumann probes of the kind discussed in the text. If these can travel at 50% of the speed of light, they can reach some stars before the cosmic expansion puts further acquisitions forever out of reach....