AnthonyC's Comments

Another AI Winter?

I probably could, but could not share such without permission from marketing, which creates a high risk of bias.

How does electricity work literally?

Edit to add: yes there are ways to generate any AC frequency you want. Obviously wind turbines don't spin at 50Hz, they use gearboxes to convert mechanical motion to the desired frequency before converting to electricity. Each such conversion costs some energy, though.

How does electricity work literally?

About the reason for 60 Hz/50 Hz: keep in mind that for most power plant types, there is an actual spinning turbine generating that sine wave of power as a result of it's rotating motion. When you attach a device to the grid that draws power, the energy comes out of those spinning turbines and they would physically slow down except that grid operators closely match the grid energy demand to supply. They can monitor demand by watching the frequency,: if demand goes up, like when you turn on a lightbulb, the turbines slow down, frequency drops. You turn off the lights, and the reverse happens.

I do think you're right that flickering incandescent bulbs needing to be too fast to see was one of the reasons for that specific frequency. Too much lower and people notice. Conversely, too much higher and it gets harder to engineer turbines that spin fast enough and are still efficient and durable, especially with early 1900s era metallurgy and manufacturing tolerances.

Another AI Winter?

Sorry for the month+-long delay, but I meant the 1st option. To a first approximations, people seem to still be estimating the same calendar year (say, "2035" or whatever) as they estimated in 2015.

Material Goods as an Abundant Resource

Conversely, members of a subculture who really care about it may want to spread it so others can enjoy it, not realizing this oftenruins the separate-status-ladders benefit

Material Goods as an Abundant Resource

On subcultures: This made me think of, specifically the posts/sections on countercultre, subcultures, and atomization. It seems plausible that as a society we've already tried to go that route to counteract the effects of abundant productivity of goods and media, and exhausted it. Cheap communication and low production costs mean it's basically impossible to prevent outsiders from overwhelming a small subculture, so anything more than a few people can care deeply about gets diluted by the mainstream and seems, to the original members, meaningless as a result.

How was your decade?

I've been thinking about this a lot lately. 2019 has been a year of many changes for me, but mostly by way of consolidting everything I've been learning to reshape my own mind. From the outside it would look like the rest of the decade, 2009-2018, was way more eventful. Starting in 2009 I graduated college, got a job, went to grad school, quit grad school, got a dog and a cat, bought a house, got married, got into hiking and yoga and meditation, and read the Sequences and lots of other things.

As for advice - I would try to convey the importance of self-acceptance and self-compassion, and the fact that it's really, really unhealthy mentally to believe that a virtuous person cannot value his own life and well-being above that of anyone else, at least if that person is human and living on Earth in the current time. I would provide a long reading recommendation list, though honestly I don't know if any of what I said could efficiently bridge the inferential gap between me and him.

What spiritual experiences have you had?

Earlier this year I read Mastering the Core Teachings of the Buddha, which for the first time gave me a useful vocabulary for experiences I had already had. I describe the experiences, and then the names I'm mapping them onto.

My freshman year of college I was walking back from a class, really focused on some aspect of the material, when all of a sudden I started making lots of concept associations quickly, and it felt like everything I knew was assembling itself into one big tapestry, full of colors and patterns. Not a hallucination - even then I didn't think I literally saw anything unreal - but during and after it did feel like the world around me was more full of color than usual, for a while. Euphoria, which lasted for the next day or so. Didn't actually "learn" anything from it in the traditional sense. Maps to: Arising and Passing Away.

A year later I was at an Aikido class, staring intently at a demonstration, and my vision narrowed to a very tight spot, everything else blurring out. Maps to: first jhana.

From 2016 to 2018 I was going through clinical depression, and started meditating much more regularly. My depression manifested in part as a lack of emotion, motivation, and action, which made it artificially easy to quiet my mind and focus inward. Meditation was generally accompanied by strong feelings of peace, but nothing spiritual, Then I started antidepressants, and was very lucky in finding one that worked for me really quickly. My meditation practice changed dramatically a few weeks later. I became very aware of individual pulses of sensation throughout my body ("vibrations") in vision, touch, and temperature. I felt increased separation from my own sense experiences, like I was watching them instead of being them.

I reached stream entry along the way shortly thereafter- there was a moment of having no experience at all. It was odd and unmistakeable. Then, for about two weeks, a single focused breath would bring up waves of bliss, and make my whole field of vision sharper and brighter. Maps to: second or sometimes fourth jhana.

Since then (it has been 9 months) I've noticed sustained changes in how I perceive the world around me. It's like I'm seeing more of the raw sensory data, or can more often see through the model my brain builds for conscious awareness. For example, walls and tiles patters are more...swirly away from focal vision, and sometimes when reading text my eyes will unfocus or focus less without impacting the reading process much. When I look at a picture, it may go from normal to completely 2D or super-3D, and the same has happened when watching a TV from a wide viewing angle. A few times a week I'll be walking and all of a sudden my surroundings snap into focus (visual, tactile, and auditory) much more than normal.

I don't assign any mystical meaning to these experiences, but they have really changed what my algorithm feels like from the inside.

Another AI Winter?

I work for a company that, among other things, tracks trends in lots of industries and technologies, and makes near- and long-term forecasts of their evolution. Hype aside, I have seen no evidence of any change in independent assessments of when truly autonomous vehicles would see commercial adoption. Five years is really not a long time, when most people who don't work for car companies or hype-happy news agencies were already projecting timelines into the late 2020s/early 2030s. Whether you consider that "close" to a boom or not is a matter of semantics and perspective.

Moloch Hasn’t Won

I can't wait to read the rest of this sequence.

My starting opinion is still that Elua has to exist to win, and Moloch doesn't.

Load More