I don't see "how you express yourself on a highly argumentative web forum" as limiting "how you express yourself at a launch party" or "how you express yourself on a popular podcast" other places.

Not sure what tipped off kave, but I just put it into my favorite online AI detector and it came out with high confidence that ~60% of the text was AI-written.

I don't recall the precise numbers, but I think the last time I looked them up the micromorts for motorcycles are crazy and I would definitely go out of my way to talk a friend down from buying one

Trazzi shared this on Twitter:

Sky News (#3 News Channel in the UK) ran a 5-minute segment on the Google DeepMind Hunger Strike

The linked video seems to me largely successful at raising awareness of the anti-extinction position – it is not exaggerated, it is not mocked, it is accurately described and taken seriously. I take this as evidence of the strikes being effective at their goals (interested if you disagree).

I think the main negative update about Dennis (in line with your concerns) is that he didn't tell his family he was doing this. I think that's quite different from the Duc story I linked above, where he made a major self-sacrifice with the knowledge and support of his community.

Yeah that's fair.

Classic motte and baileys are situations where the motte is not representative of the bailey.

Defending that the universe probably has a god or some deity, and that we can feel connected to it, and then turning around and making extreme demands of people’s sex lives and financial support of the church when that is accepted, is a central motte and bailey.

Pointing out that if anyone builds it using current techniques the it would kill everyone, is not far apart from the policy claim to shut it down. It’s not some weird technicality that would of course never come up. Most of humanity is fully unaware that this is a concern and will happily sign off on massive ML training runs that would kill us all - as would many people in tech. This is because have little-to-no awareness of the likely threat! So it is highly relevant, as there is no simple setting for not that, and it takes a massive amount of work to get from this current situation to a good one, and is not a largely irrelevant but highly defensible claim.

Curated! A really quite curious work of language-model psychology, and a lot of data gathering and analyses. I am pretty confused about what to make of it, but it seems well-worth investigating further. Thank you for this write-up.

Your link broke for me, I shortened the URL to this and it worked.

I don't have this feeling. I wouldn't say that this is the full and final analysis of fashion, but I think the kind of analysis done in this post is very aware of social signaling games in a way that is very hard to find anywhere else on the internet, and so a pretty good contribution to people's understanding of fashion for that reason.

One idea I came up with today, is that the ideal book would also have an online website where you can read it all, conditional on you having bought a book. Essentially a paywall that is also a measurable book sale. And otherwise you can just get highlighted extracts from each chapter.