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Another Real World Example of Cognitive Bias

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Study Hacks on Convenience as Anti-Productivity

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Random Flu Thoughts, including vaccination and base rates

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A Problem with Abbreviations and Acronyms

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Science - Idealistic Versus Signaling

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Getting Feedback by Restricting Content

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Friedman on Utility

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ESR's New Take on Qualia

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Recent Comments

>I think fictional evidence isn't terribly convincing.

Indeed. Try Hans-Herman Hoppe's *Democracy: The God that Failed* or Graham's *The Case Against Democracy*. Neither is all that convincing that monarchy is *much* better than democracy, but they make a decent case that it is at least marginall...(read more)

You are grossly over-simplifying anti-intellectualism, some streams of which are extremely valuable. Your claim only fits the "thalamic anti-intellectual", one of at least five broad types [Eric Raymond]( discusses.

The most important and useful to society is the "*...(read more)

>I only recently ran into a good simple explanation for Bayes-- that the more detailed a prediction becomes, the less likely it is to be true.

That looks like a good way of explaining the conjunction and narrative fallacies, too. They could easily be looked at as adding details to a simpler argume...(read more)

Go to Google Scholar and search on "argument maps" and "argument diagram", you'll get plenty of hits.

Another possibility I saw, though it probably wasn't intended, is that both pickled and stewed are slang for drunk; maybe they are really powerful fruits.

You might find [this]( useful, it isn't a source of papers, it is first-hand accounts by autistics and what life and other people were like to them. This one, [Don't Mourn For Us](, is probably the best genera...(read more)

Not really. If you look at a periodic table, the vast majority actually are metals.

The world (including brains) is strictly deterministic. The only source of our mental contents are our genetics and what we are "taught" by our environments (and the interactions between them). The only significant difference between rat and human brains for the purpose of uploading should be the ...(read more)

At least for the three examples you cited, I seem to remember them bring called approximations, not "correct".