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Occupy Wall Street: Predictions, Speculations

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Bayesian Reasoning Applied to House Selling: Listing Price

7y
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Most-Moral-Minority Morality

7y
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Hypotheses For Dualism

8y
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Dissenting Views

9y
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Rationalist Role in the Information Age

9y
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Wednesday depends on us.

9y
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Atheist or Agnostic?

9y
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GroupThink, Theism ... and the Wiki

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Maybe Theism Is OK -- Part 2

9y
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Recent Comments

>what observation can distinguish those which actually are loving?

I think, evidence that the universe was designed with some degree of attention to our well-being. If the universe is unexpectedly kind to us, or if we are especially well taken care of, would be evidence of a loving God.

I'm confli...(read more)

True. I linked the article as an example of the idealistic journalist, one that is disappointed that his motives are distrusted by the public.

Your comment is well-received. I'm continuing to to think about it and what this means for finding reliable media sources.

My impression of journalists has always been that they would be fairly idealistic about information and communicating that information to be attracted to their profession. I al...(read more)

I might need some recalibration, but I'm not sure.

I research topics of interest in the media, and I feel frustrated, angry and annoyed about the half-truths and misleading statements that I encounter frequently. The problem is not the feelings, but whether I am 'wrong'. I figure there are two ways...(read more)

A person infected with Ebola is *very* contagious during the period they are showing symptoms. The CDC recommends [casual contact and droplet precautions](http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/hcp/infection-prevention-and-control-recommendations.html).

Note the following description of (casual) contact: >...(read more)

Sorry, realized I don't feel comfortable commenting on such a high-profile topic. Will wait a few minutes and then delete this comment (just to make sure there are no replies.)

I don't believe we disagree on anything. For example, I agree with this:

If you have equal numbers at +4 and +3 and +2, then most of the +4 still may not be the best, but the best is likely to be +4.

> Are you talking about relative sample sizes, or absolute?

By 'plenty of points'... I was imagi...(read more)

Interesting post. Well thought out, with an original angle.

In the direction of constructive feedback, consider that the concept of sample size -- while it seems to help with the heuristic explanation -- likely just muddies the water. (We'd still have the effect even if there were plenty of points...(read more)

I see. I was confused for a while, but in the hypothetical examples I was considering, a link between MMR and autism might be *missed* (a false negative with 5% probability) but isn't going to found unless it was there (low false positive). Then Vanviver explains, above, that the canonical null-hypo...(read more)

(I realize I'm confused about something and am thinking it through for a moment.)