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The Amanda Knox Test: How an Hour on the Internet Beats a Year in the Courtroom

if you don't ever -- or indeed often -- find yourself needing to zig when, not only other people, but all kinds of internal "voices" in your mind are loudly shouting for you to zag, then you're either a native rationalist...

Shouldn't this start with "if you frequently..." ?

Decision theory: Why Pearl helps reduce “could” and “would”, but still leaves us with at least three alternatives

Can anyone explain why Goodman considers this statement to be true:

Hence `If that piece of butter had been heated to 150°F, it would not have melted.' would also hold.