4 months ago I shared that I was taking sublingual vitamins and would test their effect on my nutrition in 2025. This ended up being an unusually good time to test because my stomach was struggling and my doctor took me off almost all vitamins, so the sublinguals were my major non-food source (and I've been good at extracting vitamins from food). I now have the "after" test results. I will announce results in 8 days- but before then, you can bet on Manifold.  Will I judge my nutrition results to have been noticeably improved over the previous results?


Hank Green on the worst things about no longer having cancer:

1. During cancer you have a team of high status people actively working for your benefit. Suddenly, they are gone.
2. You are not actually done.
   1. The cancer could return.
   2. you have to monitor for the cancer's return, so every weird thing your body does now feels threatening. This will never entirely go away.
3. You have made a bunch of cancer friends, some of whom are doing much worse than you.
4. The cancer and the treatment both leave a permanent mark on your body,
   1. including permanent disability.
   2. your you has gone through a one way transformation 

• Their romantic partner offering lots of value in other ways. I'm skeptical of this one because female partners are typically notoriously high maintenance in money, attention, and emotional labor. Sure, she might be great in a lot of ways, but it's hard for that to add up enough to outweigh the usual costs.

Assuming arguendo this is true: if you care primarily about sex, hiring sex workers is orders of magnitude more efficient than marriage. Therefor the existence of a given marriage is evidence both sides get something out of it besides sex. 

female partners are typically notoriously high maintenance in money, attention, and emotional labor.

That's the stereotype, but men are the ones who die sooner if divorced, which suggests they're getting a lot out of marriage. 

ETA: looked it up, divorced women die sooner as well, but the effect is smaller despite divorce having a bigger financial impact on women. 

According to a friend of mine in AI, there's a substantial contingent of people who got into AI safety via Friendship is Optimal. They will only reveal this after several drinks. Until then, they will cite HPMOR. Which means we are probably overvaluing HPMOR and undervaluing FIO.

follow up: if you would disagree-vote with a react but not karma downvote, you can use the opposite react. 

While we're at it, can it be >99% to match <1%?

As a follow up on my previous poll: If you've worked closely with someone who used stimulants sometimes but not always, how did stimulants affect their ability to update? Please reply with emojis <1% for "completely trashed", 50% for neutral, >99% for "huge improvement".  

Comments with additional details are welcome. 

Sorry, I missed this too. The first-pass transcript was indeed done by AI. I went over it probably dozens of times, but I guess not enough.

Oh hey I did https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tv6KfHitijSyKCr6v/elizabeth-s-shortform?commentId=dpzr9Z8CxutPFbuHx