#necro, but yes. Longitudinal observation shows that the same people perform worse under pressure as amateurs, and better under pressure at the end.
Assumptions: Evil Forces are a small cabal (20) people who will be searching for it, starting in a few months. They know you were the one who hid it, but are not willing to torture you. They can spend 50 years searching, but will then give up, and let you retrieve & sell it in peace.
"I can only lose due to shenanigans" and "maybe I'll just stay in office" are miles apart in terms of how troubling they are.
One is a prediction about other people, and the other is a prediction about the speaker's future actions.
//of course, given the speaker of the second statement, I assign epsilon weight to it as evidence either way.
If Biden has a clear election night win, there might be local violence on the scale of Right Wing millitia groups attempting to take over locations (possibly successfully for a few months) a-la Cliven Bundy. There may be some violence, with casualties likely in the range of dozens nation-wide, but possibly reaching up to the hundreds in the 99.9th percentile worst case.
If Biden wins, but not until all the votes are counted, probably double the above effects & risks.
If Biden gets more votes in enough states to have 270 electors, but some combination of lawsuits, direct violence, etc. by Republicans in various states leads to Trump "winning" then I would predict a substantial risk of direct violence by left-wing groups, perhaps 1% chance of Republican officeholders / operations being physically attacked in a sustained way. Likely a 75%+ chance of a dozen Republican election offices being damaged in violent protests nationwide.
If Trump actually gets more votes in enough states to have 270 electors, expect a continuation of current policy, risk, and violence, both in perpetrators and victims.
Break a vulnerable part of the room, primarily by carefully kicking it:
This +1. There are all sorts of reasonable or unreasonable ways out of a room, but once you've listed "Break the wall open" does it really count to add "Scratch a hole in the wall," "Use your Phone to hammer a hole in the wall," "Kick a hole in the wall" etc. Similarly, once you have "Call for help" does it really count to add "Call the police," "Call a friend," "E-mail for help," "Use Facebook for help," etc.
I think more specific challenges help with that (eg "get past this border wall" or "contact your business partner, who is trying to find you") helps with not making 50 different iterations of "open a hole in the wall" seem like cheating.
//for many people, this is close enough to the case. What's the statistic: 75% of everyone never moves more than an hour away from where they were born (and 33% never even go more than one hour away)? Something like that.
//is this actually true for individual homeowners, though? This is a risk for owning a large capital investment, but my understanding is that individuals generally got to keep (or re-assert ownership of) their personal residence despite political turmoil.
//again, this is kind of a tail risk that would be correlated with a loss of value in stocks, bonds, and any other wealth instrument outside of bullets and rations.
//isn't this the same thing you said in point #1?
//As mentioned in other comments, the cost of rent will, in the long term, equal the cost of ownership. In the short term, owners have a more constant expense, and are protected from sudden large increases in rent, should the area become more popular. Also, you can borrow against the asset at rates lower than the long-term average market gains, if you are treating it as an investment (though, in most places, home values are mostly constant, rising at around the general rate of inflation, in which case it's not really an investment)
In conclusion, more than 63% of people wanting to stay in the same place for an extended (7+ years) period of time, and lock in their housing cost (which is the single largest line item in anyone's budget) for that time, seems completely reasonable. Some percentage of renters would prefer to own, but don't have the assets (cash + earning capacity) to acquire a residence; some percentage of people are very mobile, or in an uncertain position, and don't want to be tied down to a medium-term contract, because they might need or want to move for any number of reasons.
Reading the other's source code is a bigger change (actually, a superset of auto-recognizing self)
It actually makes coordinating trivial and enforceable, since you can just check for the correct behavior & password before cooperating.
And if you can run your opponent's source code...
The headset provided by my work has a huge button panel on the cord, and can be muted with a physical button on that cord, which then lights up.
This makes it very easy to hit the button and start speaking, rather than fumbling around with the interface to find the un-mute.