Raw size feels like part of the story, yeah, but my guess is increased communications leading to more rapid selection for memes which are sticky is also a notable factor.
Not exactly / only sci-fi, but Rational Reads is a good place to look if you liked HPMOR.
hm, that intuition seems plausible.
The other point that comes to mind is that if you have a classical simulation running on a quantum world, maybe that counts as branching for the purposes of where we expect to find ourselves? I'm still somewhat confused about whether exact duplicates 'count', but if they do then maybe the branching factor of the underlying reality carries over to sims running further down the stack?
As someone who mostly expects to be in a simulation, this is the clearest and most plausible anti-simulation-hypothesis argument I've seen, thanks.
How does it hold up against the point that the universe looks large enough to support a large number of even fully-quantum single-world simulations (with a low-resolution approximation of the rest of reality), even if it costs many orders of magnitude more resources to run them?
Perhaps would-be simulators would tend not to value the extra information from full-quantum simulations enough to build many or even any of them? My guess is that many purposes for simulations would want to explore a bunch of the possibility tree, but depending on how costly very large quantum computers are to mature civilizations maybe they'd just get by with a bunch of low-branching factor simulations instead?
Maybe something about the collapse of sensemaking and the ability of people to build a shared understanding of what's going on, partly due to rapid changes in communications technology transforming the memetic landscape?
We’ve duped EVERYONE.
At age 5 I am told that every single morning as we drove to school I said to my mother that it was a waste of time. Shockingly, she listened, and after a year of this she had found out about home education and made arrangements for me to be released.I am beyond glad to have avoided most of formal education, despite having been put back into it twice during my teenage years for several years each time. The difference between my motivation to learn, social fulfilment, and general wellbeing was dramatic.
I am curious about what alternatives could be built with modern technology, and whether a message like this could spread enough to shift a notable fraction of children to freedom.
I've read a lot of books in the self-help/therapy/psychology cluster, but this is the first which gives a clear and plausible model of why the mental structure they're all working with (IFS exiles, EMDR unprocessed memories, trauma) has enough fitness-enhancing value to evolve despite the obvious costs.
A couple of months ago I did some research into the impact of quantum computing on cryptocurrencies, seems maybe significant, and a decent number of LWers hold cryptocurrency. I'm not sure if this is the kind of content that's wanted, but I could write up a post on it.
Should most of Inadequate Equilibria be tagged with this?
This seems important to me too. I have some hope that it's at least possibly deferrable until post-singularity, e.g. have the AI let everyone know it exists and will provide for everyone's basic needs for a year while they think about what they want the future to look like. Stuart Armstrong's fiction Just another day in utopia and The Adventure: a new Utopia story are examples of exploring possible answers to what we want.