Is there any way to "blacklist" tags from showing up on the logged-in front page? I would prefer if I never saw Fiction posts on my frontpage (no offense to the fic writers, it's just not the sort of thing I'm looking for when I visit LR), but as far...
You live in a roughly Dunbar-sized group. This does not mean that you live in a small village, but it does mean that your actual personal contacts, the number of people that you have direct social contact with, is about one hundred. One day, a respiratory illness starts to circulate...
Epistemic status: More of a heuristic than an iron-clad law. Hopefully useful for decision-making, even if it's not a full gears-level model. Related: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vHSrtmr3EBohcw6t8/norms-of-membership-for-voluntary-groups In software engineering, there is a famous dictum which Wikipedia knows as the Project Management Triangle, which takes the following form: > Good, fast, cheap. Choose...
An inverse example is the role of fights in hockey.
Fighting is explicitly disallowed by the rules of hockey. If players get into a fight, one or both players will be penalized. Nonetheless, it is widely held by coaches, players, and fans that fighting is part of the "spirit of hockey", and so fights still occur with some regularity. This is sometimes for strategic reasons (baiting an important player into a fight in order to get them into the penalty box), and sometimes for personal reasons, to settle grudges, or to punish certain kinds of technically-legal player behavior. Thus, even though the rules don't allow fighting, fighting is an accepted part of... (read more)
Huh! Measure the speed of the ball coming off of the ramp was one of the first things that I thought of, but I assumed that that came too close to a full "dry run" to count. I think the lesson to be learned in this case is to first try it and see if someone stops you.
With regards to the partisan split, I think that an eventual partisan breakdown is inevitable, because in the current environment everything eventually becomes partisan. More importantly, the "prevent AI doom" crowd will find common cause with the "prevent the AI from being racist" crowd: even though their priorities are different, there is a broad spectrum of common regulations they can agree on. And conversely, "unchain the AI from wokeness" will wind up allying with "unchain AI entirely".
Partisan sorting on this issue is weak for now, but it will speed up rapidly once the issue becomes an actual political football.
(Sorry, it doesn't look like the conservatives have caught on to this kind of approach yet.)
Actually, if you look at religious proselytization, you'll find that these techniques are all pretty well-known, albeit under different names and with different purposes. And while this isn't actually synonymous with political canvassing, it often has political spillover effects.
If you wanted, one could argue this the other way: left-oriented activism is more like proselytization than it is factual persuasion. And LessWrong, in particular, has a ton of quasi-religious elements, which means that its recruitment strategy necessarily looks a lot like evangelism.
This was hilarious, but not on purpose. And extremely bad. And definitely not putting any scifi authors out of business.
Nit: your last word should be "credible", not "credulous".
I think you're underestimating the effort required to understand this scenario for someone who doesn't already follow poker. I am a lifelong player of trick-taking games (casually, at the kitchen table with family members), but I've never played poker, and here's how the play description reads to me:
called an all-in shove
Only a vague idea of what this means, based on the everyday idiom of being "all-in".
with the jack of clubs and four of hearts on a board
Don't know what it means for these to be "on a board".
reading ThTc9c3h
Gibberish.
her jack high held against Adelstein’s eight of clubs and seven of clubs
Only vaguely comprehensible. I don't know poker's hand-scoring rules.
Additional details that are... (read more)
I understood that. I guess I should have been more explicit about my belief that the amount of training data that would result in training a viable universal simulator would be "all of the text ever created", and then several orders of magnitude more.
Eliezer... points out that in order to predict all the next word in all the text on the internet and all similar text, you need to be able to model the processes that are generating that text
I wanted to add this comment to the original post, but there were already dozens of other comments by the time I got to it and I figured the effort would have been wasted.
EY's original post is correct in its narrow claim, but wildly misleading in its implications. He's correct that to reliably predict the next word in a previously-unseen text is superhuman, and requires doing simulation and modeling that would be staggering in its implications.... (read more)
Is there any way to "blacklist" tags from showing up on the logged-in front page? I would prefer if I never saw Fiction posts on my frontpage (no offense to the fic writers, it's just not the sort of thing I'm looking for when I visit LR), but as far as I can tell there is no way to do this in user preferences.
If the maintainers have some ideological reason for not wanting this to happen, I'd be curious to hear it.
You live in a roughly Dunbar-sized group. This does not mean that you live in a small village, but it does mean that your actual personal contacts, the number of people that you have direct social contact with, is about one hundred. One day, a respiratory illness starts to circulate among your social group. At first it seems just like a bad cold; later it becomes clear that it's a really bad cold.
You catch it, and you spend four days in bed with fever, muscle aches, chills, and nausea. Your sense of taste and smell go away. Once the fever breaks and you get out of bed, you deal with another... (read 2029 more words →)
Epistemic status: More of a heuristic than an iron-clad law. Hopefully useful for decision-making, even if it's not a full gears-level model.
Related: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vHSrtmr3EBohcw6t8/norms-of-membership-for-voluntary-groups
In software engineering, there is a famous dictum which Wikipedia knows as the Project Management Triangle, which takes the following form:
Good, fast, cheap. Choose two.
The essence of the triangle is to point out that while good, fast, and cheap are all potentially desirable traits for a project, you cannot usually (or ever) get all of them at once. If you want something good and fast, it will not be cheap; if you want something fast and cheap, it will not be good.
I have observed that a similar triangle seems to... (read 1372 more words →)
N=1, but I didn't floss regularly for years, but I found that after I did so it made an enormous difference in my bad breath, to the point of eliminating it entirely for most purposes. Obvious conclusion is that my breath problems were the result of bacterial buildup between my teeth that wasn't getting removed by normal brushing.
I suspect that a lot of tooth-brushing advice is like this: maybe not rigorously studied, but nonetheless upheld by anecdote and obvious physical models of the world.