This paper, and this summary, is extremely impressive. Frankly, it demonstrates that some elements of global AI regulation that I had assumed technically impossible are actually feasible. The fact that great focus is given to making a framework that does not fundementally rely on blind trust is particularly strong, and though I know other previous papers have attempted to do the same, the introduction of ASIC and ASIC-derived chips gives your proposal some teeth.
However, I do think it ultimately focuses too much on the narrow feasibility of both the techno... (read more)
I believe so, or pass it on to people who could.
Will again emphasise I am a relative outsider here. But the core issue really is that the entire industry is managing to land the feeling of the message, not the substance. There is a substantial gap between what both AI companies, as well as many AI safety researchers, say and write, and what people actually end up reading (both figuratively, but also literally in the case of when research is poorly reproduced in media outlets).
Simplifying the message on your own terms, I think, will be key. This simplificat... (read more)
Hey. Long-time reader, first-time caller.
To start; My background is not tech private sector, but politics. More specifically, advising a lot of politicians who, up until recently, were viewed as total crackpots, but have recently become national representatives, and may soon become ministers or secretaries of state.
In short; I believe you vastly overestimate the legibility of AI problems.
In my experience, politicians both operate and regulate largely on vibes. The core structure of the problem is secondary to the pervasive feeling the in-group gets from t... (read more)
If there is no plan, there will not be a pause. Requesting the United States, let alone the world, to implement a pause on AI would be a monumental ask, even with an extremely detailed -- borderline irrefutable -- plan. Asking the United States alone to do it -- likely crashing its economy in the process and enabling foreign actors to mount up growing non-AI advantages -- is a non-starter on both sides of the aisle, let alone in the private sector.
It is always important to remember that it is extremely difficult to co... (read more)