No-Bullshit Optimization/Risk Reduction, Life Extension, EA, Rationality, Startups, Film, MMA. Larry David is my spirit animal.

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All AGI safety questions welcome (especially basic ones) [monthly thread]

Thanks for writing this out! 

I think most writing glosses over this point because it'd be hard to know exactly how it would kill us and doesn't matter, but it hurts the persuasiveness of discussion to not have more detailed and gamed out scenarios.

A concrete bet offer to those with short AI timelines

"We (Tamay Besiroglu and I) think this claim is strongly overstated, and disagree with the suggestion that “It's time for EA leadership to pull the short-timelines fire alarm.” This post received a fair amount of attention, and we are concerned about a view of the type expounded in the post causing EA leadership to try something hasty and ill-considered."

What harm do you think will come if this happens and what do you think should be done instead?

Brain preservation to prevent involuntary death: a possible cause area

Nice to see other people interested in the topic! 

Robert McIntyre, the CEO of Nectome, the brain preservation startup, is probably the person who knows the most about this space.

For those interested, I did a writeup on a talk Robert gave that summarizes his thoughts and process here:

And I interviewed him here:

Should I delay having children to take advantage of polygenic screening?

Thanks for writing this up. I'd be interested in the more in-depth post.

(2009) Shane Legg - Funding safe AGI

Thanks for sharing this! It's inspiring to dig up old posts where people talk about their goals and to see how well it worked out.

What are examples of the opposite of perverse incentives?

Yes, I think Pigovian taxes are really interesting and useful. I suppose then I'm looking for examples of privately implemented Pigovian taxes that fixed a problem successfully.

What are examples of the opposite of perverse incentives?

Yes, I agree that a grocery store is a great example. I suppose I'm looking for examples where people recognized a problem, changed the incentives, and then it fixed/improved things.

What question would you like to collaborate on?

Thanks for writing this up! It's a good idea and a thing worth experimenting with.

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