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Dynomight has looked at the health effects of vitamin D supplementation. The large-scale meta-analyses that have been performed conclude there is no significant effect, even though individual studies relatively consistently point in the direction of an effect. This means our failure to detect a significant effect may be due to...

Alternative titles: * … earns you a high-risk pregnancy * … earns you an ascent of Matterhorn * … earns you 10,000 km on a motorcycle * … earns you two BASE jumps * … earns you a day on the frontline in Ukraine These are all about equivalent to...

I’ve heard some buzz around the new GLM 5.2 open-weights model. They say it’s very capable! I won’t run a full comparison benchmark, but I have some credits sloshing around on OpenRouter so I figured I might compare GLM 5.2 to the similarly-priced Gemini 3 Flash[1], and see where things...

TL;DR: My new prior is that top-of-the-line LLMs working on easy tasks generate code that is maybe 10 % more complicated than necessary. I also think we accept this complexity too easily, because it comes from code that is right here, right now, solving an immediate problem. This may have...

Lucas Costa has written a good article on how to build systems that can handle code-generating robots. Unfortunately, when calling it backpressure, he used the wrong metaphor.[1] Backpressure is about signaling to upstream processes that they running too fast and need to slow down. Note that the suggestions presented by...

William Sealy Gosset was great. He improved beer at Guinness by using the statistics that existed at the time. Not happy with that, he invented new statistics to brew even better beer. The things he invented are used all over the place now, but Guinness wanted to keep him a...

TL;DR: Instead of labouriously computing , we can mentally calculate using the alpha-max plus beta-min algorithm, by estimating and this will be very close to the actual . This is useful for adding up sources of variance, or figuring out radiuses, or other such things. Background The mathematical relationship is...