MikkW

I originally wrote this as a comment on a post which had negative net karma when I first saw it. I figure what I wrote is worth also posting to the top level, so that it can have more chance to be seen and thought about When I came upon...

Yesterday I wrote a post, which currently stands at negative karma. I still stand by this post. Since it is short, I will quote it before saying what I have to say regarding it. > The Army of Jakoths is riding > They are riding to take your life, and...

Speed of information input is a bottleneck for rationality. Rationality (both in its epistemic and instrumental forms) demand having true beliefs- not just true beliefs about abstract logical facts, but also true beliefs about the world. The only way to have true beliefs about the world is to observe the...

The Army of Jakoths is riding They are riding to take your life, and mine And everything and everyone you ever loved The Army of Jakoths is a mile from your door And the only thing your neighbor says is: «I'm just as likely to be struck by a bolt...

Disclaimer: I am not an epidemiologist, and my knowledge of the field is limited to what I have learned from the following experiences: 1) being a person who has lived through 2 years of a pandemic 2) having played a decent amount of Plague, Inc. (for whatever that's worth) 3)...

Reading Raemon's recent Shortform on why the long-term leadership succession of small groups often deteriorates made me consider organizations which manage to successfully have several generations of competent leadership. Reading through history, hereditary monarchies always seem to fall into a similar problem to what Raemon describes, with incompetent and (physically...

I understand the basic concept of counterfactual trade, and I can understand some examples where it can make sense to trade acausally between two different histories of our familiar world; for example, in Embedded Agency, Scott G and Abram discuss a game where Alice receives a card, either a king...