I guess what I'm pointing to is that it might be individually rational to update on previous guesses (perhaps this could be called "deliberate anchoring"?), whilst it might not be group rational.

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Math. proof of the superiority of independent guesses?

Milton5y10

Thanks! And sorry for being such a noob.

Concerning "anchoring", do you know where I can go to read more?

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Math. proof of the superiority of independent guesses?

Milton5y10

Thanks!

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3Is frequentism compatible with the principle of indifference in any meaningful sense?

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3Which way should we update about uncertain events, over time?

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-3Math. proof of the superiority of independent guesses?

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