We’re developing an AI-enabled wargaming-tool, grim, to significantly scale up the number of catastrophic scenarios that concerned organizations can explore and to improve emergency response capabilities of, at least, Sentinel. Table of Contents 1. How AI Improves on the State of the Art 2. Implementation Details, Limitations, and Improvements 3....
Here's a cautionary tale about a friendly bet going wrong and how to avoid the same mistake in your own bets. When I was in Brazil with a friend, I had a grand time teaching him to say peanut butter in Portuguese (manteiga de amendoim). He struggled to remember it...
Do you have any idea of how to use FTP as a proxy if one cares about longevity? I have a bike so installing a power meter would be way easier than doing V02 max tests and the calculator you provided is too coarse to give me confidence that I'm hitting thresholds I want to hit.
Would love that! You can send them to the email above, comment here, whatever works for you.
We’re developing an AI-enabled wargaming-tool, grim, to significantly scale up the number of catastrophic scenarios that concerned organizations can explore and to improve emergency response capabilities of, at least, Sentinel.
In a wargame, a group dives deep into a specific scenario in the hopes of understanding the dynamics of a complex system and understanding weaknesses in responding to hazards in the system. Reality has a surprising amount of detail, so thinking abstractly about the general shapes of issues is insufficient. However, wargames are quite resource intensive to run... (read 1153 more words →)
update please!
This is cool. I asked it a question in a field I'm not knowledgable about at all but my roommate is. I think having the structure there to make it maximally easy to elicit his expertise is super valuable.
Wow, somewhere along the way I got the impression that MIRI is a quiet org that occasionally speaks loudly… so much so that I never thought to check if they put out a newsletter.
It was gluten.
This is shockingly similar to what I'm going through. And the fries that fucked me up the other night are indeed fried in canola oil. I'm cautiously optimistic but I know how complicated these things can be -_-. Will report back!
Ok so modulo @GeneSmith's comments about this gene potentially being red herring, if there were a genetic basis to this, we'd expect to see prevalance of this trait increase due to genetic drift and removal of the selection pressure right?
I don't have a good sense of how quickly we'd expect to be able to detect those population level differences with the rate at which calories have become more available and the rate of growth of the variant.
Figure 7 in @guzey's post shows that it's directionally been increasing but a lot has changed about our environments and lifestyles so it doesn't rule out that maybe people are in-fact less pre-disposed to sleep but... (read more)
That matrix goes a long way in showing that there isn't much correlation between diseases in the natural distribution. What is the reason to believe those correlations will remain low when you are making edits resulting in an extremely unlikely genome?
Kernel of something that might inspire someone else who knows more than I.
Assuming weights that have “grokked” a task are more interpretable, is there use in modifying loss functions to increase grokking likelihood? Perhaps by making it path dependent on the updates of the weights themselves?
Here's a cautionary tale about a friendly bet going wrong and how to avoid the same mistake in your own bets.
When I was in Brazil with a friend, I had a grand time teaching him to say peanut butter in Portuguese (manteiga de amendoim). He struggled to remember it and butchered the pronunciation and so it turned the whole situation into a great inside joke.
Fast forward a year later,we're staying with each other again and I bet him that he wouldn't be able to remember how to say it by midnight at 20:1 odds. The bet was on.
As we went about our day, every now and then we'd think of it, he’d... (read 560 more words →)
I believe I have a bug-free implementation of this here, but I will reward anyone who does find a bug and can fix it. Something more than $10 but less than $50 depending on how much you are just pointing out a problem vs going into the code to fix it.