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This post is part of a sequence. Previous post: Design sketches for angels-on-the shoulder We’ve recently published a set of design sketches for tools for strategic awareness. We think that near-term AI could help a wide variety of actors to have a more grounded and accurate perspective on their situation,...
We don’t think that humanity knows what it’s doing when it comes to AI progress. More and more people are working on developing better systems and trying to understand what their impacts will be — but our foresight is just very limited, and things are getting faster and faster. Imagine...
This post is part of a sequence. Previous post: Design sketches: collective epistemics | Next post: Strategic awareness tools: design sketches We’ve recently published a set of design sketches for technological analogues to ‘angels-on-the-shoulder’: customized tools that leverage near-term AI systems to help people better navigate their environments and handle...
Today’s humanity faces many high stakes and even existential challenges; many of the largest are generated or exacerbated by AI. Meanwhile, humans individually and humanity collectively appear distressingly underequipped. Lots of folks around here naturally recognise that this implies a general strategy: make humans individually — and humanity collectively —...
In brief: when wages are pushed up in ‘essential’ sectors, the cost of those sectors goes up as a share of people’s income. This can be difficult. Baumol identified one ‘cost disease’ which can drive this effect. Could increasing prevalence and share of income from investments (often alongside labour) have...
We're writing this in our personal capacity. While our work at the Future of Life Foundation has recently focused on this topic and informs our thinking here, this specific presentation of our views are our own. Knowledge is integral to living life well, at all scales: * Individuals manage their...
Lots of phenomena turn out to have logarithmic returns: to get an improvement, you double effort or resources put in, but then to get the same improvement you have to double inputs again and again and so on. Equivalently, input costs are exponential in output quality[1]. You can probably think...