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Maybe vehicles would need to carry some shaped charges to cut a hole in the tube in case of emergency.

That would likely create sparks, and provided the tube has been cut the hydrogen is going to explode.

*preferably not the last state but some where the person felt normal.

I believe that's right! Though, if person can be reconstructed from N bits of information, and dead body retains K << N, then we need to save N-K bits (or maybe all N, for robustness) somewhere else.

It's an interesting question how many bits can be inferred from social networks trace of the person, actually.

Continuing to make posts into songs! I believe I'm getting a bit better, mainly in rapid-lyrics-writing; would appreciate pointers how to improve further.

  1. https://suno.com/song/ef734c80-bce6-4825-9906-fc226c1ea5b4 (based on post Don't teach people how to reach the top of a hill)
  2. https://suno.com/song/c5e21df5-4df7-4481-bbe3-d0b7c1227896 (based on post Effectively Handling Disagreements - Introducing a New Workshop)

Also, if someone is against me creating a musical form of your post, please say so! I don't know beforehand which texts would seem easily convertible to me.

This is especially concerning if we, as good Bayesians, refuse to assign a zero probability to any event, including zero utility ones.

 

I feel that since people don't care ultimately about money, all-nonzero probabilities will make all events have nonzero utility as well.

Answer by ProgramCrafterApr 12, 202441

Let's solve this problem without trying to refer to existing particular cases.

For the start, we assume that utility of A-the-thief monotonically decreases with time served; utility of B monotonically increases, and if A gives up lollipops it is increased by another constant.

Let's graph what choices A has when B does not give up lollipops.

We may notice that in this case B will simply throw A in jail for life. Well, what happens if A is willing to cooperate a bit?

  1. Coordination result will not be below or to the left of Pareto frontier, since otherwise it is possible to do better than that;
  2. Coordination result will not be below or to the left of no-coordination result, since otherwise one or both parties are acting irrationally.

We may see that after these conditions, only a piece of curve "A gives up lollipops" remains. The exact bargaining point can then be found out by using ROSE values, but we can already conclude that A will likely be convicted for a long time but not for life.

The LessWrong's AI-generated album was surprisingly nice and, even more importantly, pointed out the song generator to me! (I've tried to find one a year ago and failed)

So I've decided to try my hand on quantum mechanics sequence. Here's what I have reached yet: https://app.suno.ai/playlist/81b44910-a9df-43ce-9160-b062e5b080f8/. (10 generated songs, 3 selected, unfortunately not the best quality)

I've decided to try my hand on quantum mechanics sequence! Here's what I have reached yet: https://app.suno.ai/playlist/81b44910-a9df-43ce-9160-b062e5b080f8/. (10 generated songs, 3 selected, unfortunately not the best quality)

I've came across a poll about exchanging probability estimates with another rationalist: https://manifold.markets/1941159478/you-think-something-is-30-likely-bu?r=QW5U.

You think something is 30% likely but a friend thinks 70%. To what does that change your opinion?

I feel like there can be specially-constructed problems when the result probability is 0, but haven't been able to construct an example. Are there any?

On what basis can Alice assume

Not actually assume, but that's certainly Bayesian evidence (should Bob have tried , he would likely respond in another way).

Also, :smile: your own comment is a fairly large bit of evidence that you haven't yet read the Sequences (by the way, I recommend doing that). For instance, you can consider different ways of thinking, answer the questions 1-4 from their perspectives, and that would be evidence on which way is better - though, reality is still the ultimate judge how each situation turns out.

I don't think there is anything I can do educationally to better ensure they thrive as adults other than making sure I teach them practical/physical build and repair skills

I think one more thing could be useful, I'd call it "structural rise": over many different spheres of society, large projects are created by combining some small parts; ways to combine them and test robustness (for programs)/stability (for organisations)/beauty (music)/etc seem pretty common for most of the areas, so I guess they can be learned separately.

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