This is a longish essay by Gabe on his take on the history of mathematics. He walks through how we made progress in mathematics in several eras, covering the methods by which we made this massive progress. He ends with what we can learn from this and what other problems...
The last transcript we posted on Eliezer's podcast got a lot of traction, so I'm following up with another conversation we find very important. Dario and Daniela of Anthropic have not talked much publicly about their views on alignment, but they have done a long podcast with FLI in March...
Update February 21st: After the initial publication of this article (January 3rd) we received a lot of feedback and several people pointed out that propositions 1 and 2 were incorrect as stated. That was unfortunate as it distracted from the broader arguments in the article and I (Jan K) take...
This podcast has gotten a lot of traction, so we're posting a full transcript of it, lightly edited with ads removed, for those who prefer reading over audio. Intro Eliezer Yudkowsky: [clip] I think that we are hearing the last winds start to blow, the fabric of reality start to...
A classic example of human bias is when our political values interfere with our ability to accept data or policies from people we perceive as opponents. When most people feel like new evidence threatens their values, their first instincts are often to deny or subject this evidence to more scrutiny...
If one believes that unaligned AGI is a significant problem (>10% chance of leading to catastrophe), speeding up public progress towards AGI is obviously bad. Though it is obviously bad, there may be circumstances which require it. However, accelerating AGI should require a much higher bar of evidence and much...
We often prefer reading over listening to audio content, and have been testing transcribing podcasts using our new tool at Conjecture, Verbalize, with some light editing and formatting. We're posting highlights and transcripts of podcasts in case others share our preferences, and because there is a lot of important alignment-relevant...