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rossry
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Middle School Choice
rossry4mo32

It might!

In case it would also help to have two-to-three Harvard and/or MIT professors who work on exactly this topic to write supporting letters or talk with your school board, I'll bet money at $1:$1 that I could arrange that. Or I'll give emails and a warm intro for free.

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Middle School Choice
rossry4mo10

You shouldn't take my claims on argument-from-authority alone, but it might help you have better priors about whether I'm right to know that I've published traditional-academic work in the specific field of matching theory.

(Also in matching with monetary transfers: 1; 2)

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Middle School Choice
rossry4mo102

With respect, I think that's wrong.

If all parents agree that school A is better than B, but parent 1 cares much more about A>B than parent 2 does, then the sum-of-utilities is different (so, not "zero sum") depending on whether [ 1→A; 2→B ] or [ 1→B; 2→A ]. Every change in outcomes leads to someone losing (compared to the counterfactual), but the payoffs aren't zero-sum.

That example is kind of useless, but if you have three parents and three schools (and even if parents agree on order), but each of the parents care about A>B and B>C in different ratios, then you can use that fact to engineer a lottery where all three parents are better off than if you assigned them to schools uniformly at random. (Sketch of construction: Start with equal probabilities, and let parents trade some percentage of "upgrade C to B" for some (different?) percentage of "upgrade B to A" with each other. If they have different ratios of their A>B and B>C preferences, positive-sum trades exist.)

Then, in theory, a set of parents cooperating could implement this lottery on their own and agree to apply just to their lottery-assigned school, and if they don't defect in the prisoners' dilemma then they all benefit. Not zero-sum.

Of course, it can also be the case that they value different schools different amounts and a bad mechanism can lead to an inefficient allocation (where pairs would just be better off switching), and I could construct such an example if this margin weren't too narrow to contain it.

It is separately the case that if the administrators have meta-preferences over what parents' preferences get satisfied, then they can make a choice of mechanisms ("play the metagame", as you put it) that give better / worse / differently-distributed results with respect to their meta-preferences.

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Middle School Choice
rossry4mo30

While the zero-sum nature is unavoidable

I believe this is false as stated:

  1. Given the mechanism you described, it is not possible to give every parent better outcomes with a change to their schools...
  2. ...but it might be the case that the parents being improved get more increase in value than the parents being disapproved, so it's not constant-sum.

While 'zero-sum' is correct in a loose colloquial sense that at least one person has to lose something for any group to improve, I think it's actually important to realize that there are mechanisms that improve overall welfare -- and so the system administrators should be trying to find them!

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Middle School Choice
rossry4mo30

You cite the Gale-Shapley papers, but are you aware that the school-choice mechanism you described is called the "Boston mechanism" in the field of mechanism design? Because, well, it was also the system in place at Boston Public Schools (until the early 2000s, when they changed to a Gale-Shapley algorithm).

Pathak and Sonmez (2008) is the usual citation on the topic, and they find (as you suggest) that the change makes the most "sophisticated" parent-players worse off, but the least-sophisticated better off.

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[Completed] The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario
rossry10mo21

Think of it as your own little lesson in irreversible consequences of appealing actions, maybe? Rather than a fully-realistic element.

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[Completed] The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario
rossry10mo20
  1. Great if true!
  2. As a Citizen, and without suggesting that you are, I would not endorse anyone else lying about similar topics, even for the good consequences you are trying to achieve.
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[Completed] The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario
rossry10mo42

My guess would be that a commitment to retaliation -- including one that you don't manage to announce to General Logoff before they log off -- is positive, not negative, to one's reputation around these here parts. Sophisticated decision theories have been popular for fifteen years, and "I retaliate to defection even when it's costly to me and negative-net-welfare" reads to me as sophisticated, not shameworthy.

If a general of mine reads a blind commitment by General Logoff on the other side and does nuke back, I'll think positively of them-and-all-my-generals. (Note: if they fire without seeing such a commitment, I'll think negatively of them-and-all-my-generals, and update on whether I want them as collaborators in projects going forward.)

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[Completed] The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario
rossry10mo65

Grumble grumble unilateralists' curse...

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Chevy Bolt Review
rossry10mo113

The charger was marked 150kWh, but my understanding is the best the Bolt can do, in ideal conditions with a battery below 50%, is 53kW. And the 23kWh I saw is about typical for a Bolt getting to 75%

I think that this paragraph should say "kW" instead of "kWh" both times? Either that, or I've misunderstood what you're trying to communicate.

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Drug development is broken
Clinical Trials
8mo
(+222)
25Podcast: How not to waste a billion dollars (on your clinical trial), with Meri Beckwith on Development & Research
2mo
0
15Podcast: From molecule to medicine, with Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Complex Systems
2mo
0
38Drug development costs can range over two orders of magnitude
8mo
0
20Podcast: "How the Smart Money teaches trading with Ricki Heicklen" (Patrick McKenzie interviewing)
1y
2
105Poker is a bad game for teaching epistemics. Figgie is a better one.
1y
47
4Asimov on building robots without the First Law
2y
1
108"Liquidity" vs "solvency" in bank runs (and some notes on Silicon Valley Bank)
2y
27
24(Naïve) microeconomics of bundling goods
2y
2
18Metaculus and medians
3y
4
11What on Earth is a Series I savings bond?
4y
7
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