Sherrinford

Economist.

Wiki Contributions

Comments

Demand offsetting

"Healthier and happier chickens tend to produce better quality eggs that are distinguishable from factory-farmed eggs." I'd be interested in a study showing this.

App and book recommendations for people who want to be happier and more productive

I am not really convinced of this case. Of course you can compensate for that. You can buy the Chicago Tribune. Now you may say that is exaggerated, for just one article. But when you buy the NYT and the WSJ, you also pay for a lot of articles you don't care about. I think in this case we can hope that there are other people who buy the Chicago Tribune and also sometimes read an article in the NYT without paying for that. Or maybe you sometimes buy the NYT and every once in a while you buy the CT. In a certain social equilibrium, a variety of newspapers can exist, and I think that is more relevant than the exact payment or profit at the margin.

Now technology has changed, and there are paywalls. As in the case of the newspapers, the ethics of using an app that circumvents paywalls may depend on the way you use it, and on the social equilibrium. But it's hard to say how exactly, and which behavior should generalize.

App and book recommendations for people who want to be happier and more productive

A serious, non-rhetorical question: Is there a moral difference between "Bypass Paywalls" and a manual with advice for how to steal newspapers from a kiosk?

Lies, Damn Lies, and Fabricated Options

And maybe tribe no. 3 saying "it's a choice between [this completely idiotic politics-driven policies we see] and [obviously much better policy I have described in this document, which could be implemented easily if only the actual government would let sensible scientist-policymakers thinking like myself do the job and guard it from anything that could derail their benevolent behavior]".

Successful Mentoring on Parenting, Arranged Through LessWrong

Very interesting report. Some remarks:

  1. About literature: The most interesting book to me was "Babyjahre" by Remo Largo, a pediatrist who led the Zurich longitudinal child study and basically just explains what happens empirically in different areas of development in different ages. The book is about the ages 0-4. I assume there must be something similar in English. There's a kind of book that's a real nuisance, namely those that explain developmental stages and behavior like a horoscope: It's very vague but seemingly concrete and people tend to interpret things until it fits.
  2. Polgar: You can find Scott Alexander's articles about the Polgar family approach here and here.
  3. If your child is sick, Googling may have a different effect than it does in case sick adults: In the latter case, people tend to believe they have something deadly afterwards, while in the former you often just learn that certain "symptoms" are just normal for the age.
  4. Stated like state, "avoid rote memorization" is not really just parenting advicing, but a statement about learning. It depends on method, context and detail whether that is sensible - for example, flashcard learning seems to work quite well.
  5. "At all verbal ages, you can talk to them in a more complex way than they are able to communicate, yet they will still understand some parts of it and absorb context and parts of meaning.." Sure, but the art is to calibrate how complex your communication should be. If I read a book to learn physics and I take one aimed at PhD students, I may also be able to understand part of it, but a lot of it is just wasted time.
  6. "I don’t have enough neuroscience to develop this any further, but it’s “common knowledge” that many teenagers think their parents are idiots."  It's surprising that the English wikipedia article on puberty does not comment on behavioral development, or maybe I overlook it, and the German one only has a short paragraph lacking sources, translated by google as "During puberty, both parents and teenagers report that they no longer feel so close to each other. One reason for the problems that arise between child and parents can be the child's improved judgment, which tends to question and criticize the behavior of the parents. In addition, the roles of young people in their lives change as they mature physically and they want to be treated as adults accordingly. The adolescents also want to take on more responsibility for their leisure time. However, the parents want to protect their children from harm and thus adopt a counter-position. Most of these arguments are only superficial and do not endanger protective family ties. The young people also quarrel with their siblings more often. Puberty is often referred to as the “second phase of defiance” because of the quarrels. "
Sherrinford's Shortform

I don't think that contradicts my original statement strongly. The statement is itself a hypothesis, but I wrote it down because I find it likely that it describes behavior. However, I don't have a strong degree of confidence about it. 

Some comments may not be in the worldview / belief category, and in this case it may be the case that the people I hypothesized about may just neither upvote nor downvote. It is also possible that in this case voting on posts or comments may be motivated by different things.

Sherrinford's Shortform

Maybe worldview is a word that comes along with too many associations? What about "prior belief"?

Sherrinford's Shortform

There may be a certain risk that downvoting culture replaces "comment and discussion" culture (at least at the margins). A reason for that may be that there is no clear idea of what a downvote (or an upvote) actually means, such that possibly some people just upvote if the content of a comment / post confirms their worldview (and vice versa).

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