Sherrinford

Economist.

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If the tariffs are revoked, reversed, unenforced, or blocked in some way, that strongly points towards possibility that they were understood to be unenforceable all along, and their imposition and failure was just a kayfabe set up by the president to look like he tried and juxtaposing himself against his enemies, depicting them as at fault for making the shiny new policy impossible. This is not unique to Trump, it has been very prevalent practice among presidents and congress since most of the Cold War and possibly long before that (I don't have the energy to determine the exact age, only that it's an old old practice and very widespread).

Sorry, I don't really understand your idea here. In the passive form of "they were understood to be unenforceable all along", I do not understand who you think might have understood them to be unenforceable. The markets seem to understand them as enforceable to a relevant extent: "The S&P 500 sank nearly 6%, the Dow plunged 2,230 points, and the Nasdaq lost 5.8%, hitting their lowest levels since last May." (https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market) The movements on the markets have already had massive effects on who owns what, they have affected geopolitical relations and expectations about the future of these relations.

Tariff-based taxation governments and income-based taxation governments are pretty different government/civilizational paradigms, similar to the distinctiveness of the "dark forest" government paradigm in Africa centuries ago where villages built near roads were more likely to be enslaved or conscripted or have forced labor quotas imposed on them, resulting in villages largely being distant from roads.

Yes, tariff-based taxation governments and income-based taxation governments are different. However, I don't understand the comparison to the dark-forest government paradigm.

It seems the recent tariff designs already are serious policy. What do you mean by "added as a new centerpiece of the tax and spending regime"? What are the alternative futures?

Sorry, I confused something (not about the median, but about the 400). Thanks for illustrating.

729.1 + 3546.2 (90, 200, 400) [n=241]

 

About the Tokyo estimates: I assume that the (90, 200, 400) need to be corrected. But I misunderstand something.

What is the current status of CFAR? The website seems like it is inactive, which I find surprising given that there were four weekend workshops in 2022 that CFAR wanted to use for improving its workshops.

Musk recently wrote an opinion piece for the German newspaper Welt, calling on voters to vote for the far-right AfD party in the upcoming election. And now it seems that the article is practically the direct result of asking Grok for such an opinion piece. Is the way you produce such an opinion piece relevant? Possibly, because you might produce generic, cliched text that way and not realize how little you know. If so, efitors should realize that, of course.

What are recommendable essays discussing how to write essays?

Somewhat related as data points:

  • „A total of 565 studies from 80 different countries or regions were included in the final analysis. Postpartum depression was found in 17.22% (95% CI 16.00–18.51) of the world’s population.“ https://www.nature.com/articles/s41398-021-01663-6
  • „Many women experience labour-related and childbirth-related morbidity in the medium-to-long term after childbirth (ie, beyond 6 weeks postnatally). Available data show the most prevalent conditions are dyspareunia (35%), low back pain (32%), urinary incontinence (8–31%), anxiety (9–24%), anal incontinence (19%), depression (11–17%), tokophobia (6–15%), perineal pain (11%), and secondary infertility (11%).“ https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(23)00454-0/fulltext

I think I did not assume anything away. I pointed out that the theory of comparative advantage rests on assumptions, in particular autonomy. If someone can just force you to surrender your production (without a loss of production value), he will not trade with you (except maybe if he is nice).

Exactly. But then what does "curiosity" signal? Not laziness (as suggested in the post), but the opposite, right? Just asking seems the lazier version.

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