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[LINK] The Bayesian Second Law of Thermodynamics

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Philosophy professors fail on basic philosophy problems

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Agency is bugs and uncertainty

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[LINK] Scott Adam's "Rationality Engine". Part III: Assisted Dying

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We live in an unbreakable simulation: a mathematical proof.

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Calibrating your probability estimates of world events: Russia vs Ukraine, 6 months later.

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[LINK] Could a Quantum Computer Have Subjective Experience?

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[LINK] Physicist Carlo Rovelli on Modern Physics Research

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Recent Comments

Somewhat of the topic of accurate labels: This reminds me of Scott A's old posts on the Non-central Example Fallacy and Motte-and-Bailey: A statement starting with " Technically, ..." is designed to pick out a non-central example, like that from the post, the motte of, say, "Technically, MLK was a c...(read more)

A short comment on The Golden Rule: a more empathetic formulation, and the one that does not succumb easily to the Typical Mind Fallacy is

“Do unto others as *they* would want you to have done unto them.”

I suspect it was the trivial inconveninece of setting it up that stopped most of those who were considering it.

Accepting the world as it is now not how it should have been, without assigning blame, and looking for ways to steer it toward a better future is a very useful way to live. It is also anything but easy. Regrets, grudges, self-blame are all too common, and there is something both biological and cultu...(read more)

shminux at gmail should work. Thank you for the acknowledgment! Tried to fix the link above, not sure how well it worked.

This is anecdotally true in my practice, as well. Though the explanation seems simple enough, I would not frame it as alarms: if you are overly sensitive ("high-gain" in the control theory terms) to a specific stimulus, you are bound to overreact to that stimulus to try to match the others in percei...(read more)

There is a number of good reasons why one would refuse to pay the Pascal's Muggle, and one is based on computational complexity: Small probabilities are costly. One needs more computing resources to evaluate tiny probablitites accurately. Once they are tiny enough, your calculations will take too lo...(read more)

In addition to what others said, things get rediscovered many times before the discovery takes hold. Think of it like a beneficial DNA mutation. The circumstances have to be just right for it to survive. In retrospect we find a lot of discoveries that were forgotten for years, decades or centuries. ...(read more)

Posted on my blog, but might as well link it here. Not of the quality that Paul Christiano seeks, but might be of some interest, though many of the same point points have been discussed over and over here and elsewhere before.

Just to clarify, some of the free-energy extractors that are not commonly utilized, and for good reasons, are BDSM events, polyamory, swinging and similar fringe activities.