Sinclair Chen

THis may be the laziest lesswrong post you will ever read. Typically, LW house style is heavily edited, tagged, linked, backlinked, and cited. Asides are moved to the endnotes/sidenotes. Sources are checked and double checked. You proofread the draft yourself, then send it to the LW team and ask them...

look at this calibration s-curve from calibration.city markets are consistently closer to 50% than should be. why? I have my own guesses but curious to hear yours.

I'm currently trying to use Anki to crash course japanese vocab before a trip in a few weeks. I feel like the defaults set a card too far into the future after I press Easy even if I had already gotten it wrong several times ahead of that. Are there...

(Crossposted from EA Forum) Links to prediction markets on Manifold Markets now show a preview of the market on hover. You can also embed markets directly in posts: This lets you bet on yes/no questions without leaving Lesswrong! You do need to be logged into Manifold, otherwise when you try...