279

LESSWRONG
LW

278

View and bet in Manifold prediction markets on Lesswrong — LessWrong

21

View and bet in Manifold prediction markets on Lesswrong

by Sinclair Chen

26th May 2022

1 min read

21

21

View and bet in Manifold prediction markets on Lesswrong

2rotatingpaguro

1[comment deleted]

New Comment

8 comments, sorted by

Click to highlight new comments since: Today at 10:22 AM

Feedback: When I tried to bet, it opened up a modal that I had no way of closing, which made for a pretty frustrating experience. Probably shouldn't be too hard to fix.

[-]Sinclair Chen3y10

I've changed the betting interface now to be easier to use, albeit with less information

[-]rotatingpaguro3y20

I tried right now the embedding and it did not work unless I activated the "Lesswrong Docs" editing mode instead of the default "Markdown" one, that was not clear

[-]Sinclair Chen3y20

Of course, you can embed markets in comments as well!

[+][comment deleted]2y10

[-]papetoast2y*10

I cannot bet in the preview multi-binary markets (also clicking "See 2 more answers" doesn't work)

And then the popup closes itself and I am not logged in.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2qQyKpXzbPov2Fmdr/using-prediction-platforms-to-select-quantified-self#Self_Blinded_Experiments

[-]Isaac King2y10

This doesn't seem to work anymore? I'm posting the link in the editor and nothing happens, there's just a text link.

Are you using the markdown editor? Or maybe you are getting the wrong link?

Still works fine for me.

[-]Isaac King2y10

No, I'm using the WYSIWYG editor. It was for a post, not a comment, and definitely the right link.

Edit: Huh, I tried it again and it worked this time. My bad for not reloading to test on a fresh page before posting here, sorry.

More from Sinclair Chen

Curated and popular this week

Deleted by Jackson Wagner, 11/01/2023

(Crossposted from EA Forum)

Links to prediction markets on Manifold Markets now show a preview of the market on hover.

You can also embed markets directly in posts:

This lets you bet on yes/no questions without leaving Lesswrong! You do need to be logged into Manifold, otherwise when you try to bet it will first bring you to a screen to log in via your google account.

How to embed a market

Just go the market (or create one), copy the link, and paste it in the editor. It will automatically turn into an embed like the one above.

You can get the link from:

The address bar
The copy link button below a market you created

Or the three dot menu above the chart

Much thanks to Ben West for reviewing the code for this, which was heavily based on the previous integrations for Our World in Data, Metaculus, and Elicit.