Absolutely. To be clear, I agree with you that I believe that this is indeed what Zvi meant. Most notably, in other places in the post, Zvi talks about turning the dial up or down.
I am willing to bet 50:1 up to $20k. Would you be interested?
[EDIT] up to $20k on my side, not up $1M.
As the dial is turned up
[...]
As the dial is turned to the left
Let's assume, for the sake of epistemic charity, that this is just a typo, and not you trying to sneak in some political connotation.
fascism is usually established through a process of democratic backsliding under a populist leader. Essentially, the steps are:
- A charismatic figure emerges to lead a new populist movement, focusing on opposition to the existing political system and its "elites".
- Eventually, average people become dissatisfied with the existing democratic government or leader. Possible reasons range from corruption, to scandals, to economic decline, to a hostile press. As of 2023, most leaders of developed countries have poor approval ratings; opinions vary on whether this is because of changes in the media landscape, or whether society overall just sucks more than it used to.
- In the next election, ordinary people vote for the new populist movement and its leader, and they win democratically.
- Once in power, the new leadership uses state institutions to slowly, one piece at a time, give themselves electoral advantages. They gerrymander districts, take over the media, punish any opposition, and purge or abolish outside institutions or checks on their authority (courts, electoral commissions, local governments, etc.), until democracy is gone.
I'm not sure I follow how this model applies to the examples you give later. In France especially, as you show on the graph, the far-right movement, which hasn't seized power (yet), was already there 50 years ago, and already had a big electoral share 35 years ago. So even if it wins the presidential election in 2027, it is not a "new populist movement" as you put it. Even the current leader of the movement (Marine Lepen, I don't know if she is a charmismatic figure) is the daugther of the founder of the movement.
For Italy, you cut the graph at 2008, which may mislead the reader to believe that the share of far-right in italy went from 0 in 2003 to almost 40% in 2023, (which is already 20 years, but faster than France I guess). This is not true. Looking at the composition of the italian parliement on wikipedia, there was already 17% of far-right in italy in 1994 (110/630), then it kind of declined and was replaced by a new movement. Actually, I cut the graph in 1994 but, if you go on the page, there has always been between 5% and 10% of far-right in the parliement in Italy since WWII (with a litteral fascit party until 1992).
I haven't checked every other example, but rather than a new party with a charismatic figure, it seems to me that far-right parties are rising slowly and over time.
As someone who played modded minecraft (but I am not the OP, who might have more accurate information and a better understanding)
In short, if your kids are on bedrock, then your computers are probably safe.
Just to be clear, I think two questions are very different:
(1) Has anyone recovered alien spaceships/bodies/anything else?
(2) Is there a secret military program tasked with recovering such things?
If (2) is true, this may or may not be some democratic issue, or some institutional issue, something like this. Nonetheless, David Grusch is claiming both (1) and (2). The quotes you provide seem to point toward (2): there would be a secret program trying to recover alien stuff. They don't say anything about whether the program has acquired anything.
In the interview, David Grusch says that:
So, I don't think this is nearly enough proof. We only have a person who used to work for the UAP taskforce claiming that alien spaceships exist, because he was told so by some other people.
I believe that the dead body is not dangerous, and that everyone should be empowered (should they wish to be) to be involved in care for their own dead.
Isn't this just wrong? I mean, don't corpses spread diseases, or do other negative things, and thus are "dangerous"?
The real (hidden) cost seems to be the 3 month without working. Looks like in Germany the average net wage is 2600€/month, thus, on top of the 1500€-3500€ price range, a user would face an opportunity cost of about 7800€. This is not factoring in the possible cost of the program, most notably therapy sessions, but also not factoring in the avoided costs of not working (fuel for example).
Which leads me to the following question: how does this opportunity compare to taking 3 month off? In particular, if someone is stressed or sleep-deprived because of work, then surely taking vacations will have positive effects.
I confirm that I have received today $400. final resolution day: 11:59pm, June 16th, 2028