Thanks for doing these, you have a rare gift

I look forward to your posts on AI every week!

For any piece of information (expert statements, benchmarks, surveys, etc.) most good faith people agree on wether it makes doom more or less likely.

But we don't agree on how much they should move our estimates, and there's no good way of discussing that.

How to do better?

Certainly a thought provoking post! We try to think about the downsides of polarization and how to avoid them.

In this precise case do you think it's a risk?

Thanks ! I uploaded the images to https://imgbb.com/ and uploaded them here from there.