Tim H
Message
ph.d. in applied microeconomics, periodically thinking seriously about the impact of AI on employment and wages since Move 37.
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...contrary to the misleading leaderboard (which their technical paper implies should actually list humans at ~53%, as explained below): The 98% listed as the "Human Panel" score for ARC-AGI-1 is relatively easy to interpret. It was the score of an actual human who attempted all 100 private evaluation tasks.[1] The...
The economist Wassily Leontief, writing in 1966, used the then-recent decline of horses to make vivid what he foresaw as the coming impact of technological advances on workers. In 1910, the horse had remained indispensable for farming, transportation, and even war, despite decades of the radical technological progress of the...