Several years ago, I offered the possibility of there being a hidden intermediate state between Narrow AI and General AI https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wGJo9xDicwwppxDJt/the-case-for-artificial-expert-intelligence-axi-what-lies Even this take was, at the time, a few years after I had come up with the concept. And one of the predictions I made on this topic (I...
TECHNISM I present the idea of "technism" which put simply is "the means of production owns the means of production." Historically, this would be considered nonsense or fantasy, but in the age of artificial intelligence, it is now completely plausible. Sort of a quasi-third economic mode (quasi because being owned/managed...
The bottom of the coffee table is not the ceiling Not long ago, Andrew Ng posted one of the most fascinating tweets I've read in quite some time. It's a longer post, but the main introduction is worthy jumping off from, as it inadvertently answers a question many current AI-skeptics...
Cutting to the case, I've been grappling with various thoughts about the immediate future for over a year now— it was almost exactly a year ago that Yudkowsky's aggressive predictions of absolute and unquestionable doom led me to decide to take a vesperant break from futurology to simply enjoy the...
I had an epiphany about synthetic media back in December 2017. In that epiphany, I came to the conclusion that we were, at most, ten to fifteen years away from the day that artificial intelligence could reliably synthesize any sort of media, and that we were likely only five years...
I fear I may be becoming a mini-Yudkowsky. I write this in response to multiple exclamatory remarks I've seen in recent weeks, excited over the prospect of all jobs being automated, of ultra-high unemployment, basic income, and radical abundance, now even further bolstered over the incredible hype over the imminency...
I believe it is commonly accepted around these parts that we are doomed, due to our utter lack of attempts to resolve the Control Problem. Perhaps efforts will be made that are more substantial, but as for right now, chances for doom are high, if not 100%, and we don't...