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Predictionbook

Edited by MrHen, Vladimir_Nesov, gwern, et al. last updated 12th Jan 2019

PredictionBook is a website created by Tricycle Developments to allow users to record predictions with specific end dates. Confidence is measured and used in statistics & graphs showing each user's prediction history.

PB has >8374 prediction topics recorded, >9239 individual predictions judged, and >215 prediction topics maturing in the next 2 years.

Less Wrong users

These Less Wrong users have accounts at PredictionBook:

  • Jack
  • Eliezer_Yudkowsy
  • Emile
  • matt
  • MBlume
  • Morendil
  • MrHen
  • RobinHanson
  • rwallace
  • gwern
  • lukeprog
  • Jayson Virissimo
  • notsonewuser
  • zrkrlc

External links

  • PredictionBook.com - Official website

Blog posts

  • PredictionBook.com - Track your calibration

See also

  • Rationality power tools, Debate tools
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