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Unemployment and Automation

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[-]Curtis SerVaas10y*50

"Humans Need Not Apply" is a good youtube video on this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Pq-S557XQU

I'd like to see this discussed industry 1. by industry, 2. by technology/science.

(Technology: Computer vision) could impact (Industries: automated farming, automated transportation, etc).

(Industry: Retail/Fast-Food) could be impacted by (Technologies: Using ipads) resulting in (X number of jobs being replaced). The cost of a worker is Y, the cost of an ipad is Z. Consumer polls should L% of consumers thought ipads at fast-food restaurants were creepy.

Honestly, I don't understand why there are still people at the register at fast-food restaurants (as opposed to i-pads). In some restaurants, this is already the case. Is it just a matter of time? If so, why hasn't it happened yet?

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[-]Eliezer Yudkowsky10y*20

The key question is not whether particular industries get automated. They will be. But so was weaving and farming (3% agricultural employment in First World countries that export food, vs. 98% agricultural employment in the old days) and that didn't impact long-term unemployment. So the question is not whether particular jobs get automated, but whether employment as a whole will marginally drop as a result of marginally better automation given continuation of other current trends, potentially including incompetent central banks that allow aggregate demand slumps and so on.

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