Making claims about AI is in fashion these days, and putting numbers on your claims is always in fashion! Come do both!

• Here's a doc full of ideas of things to predict; you are welcome to contribute to it, and by no means limited to it.
• If we can get enough people to agree on operationalizations of important questions, I plan to throw up some Manifold markets, and also fund a tournament with some three-digit number of real dollars.
• Location is Rhein Haus Seattle, a bar with an outdoor seating area.