Actually I have an explicit moral system, worked out from painful experience, that says it's immoral for me to try to convince anyone of anything.
Can you explain what that painful experience was? Because other people seemed to have learned from their past experience that being "cocky" led to good results instead of bad.
(I know someone else who tried to participate on Less Wrong and stopped after being frequently downvoted due to apparent overconfidence, and his explanation was very similar to Silas Barta's, i.e., his style is effective in other online forums that he participates in.)
When my job and my family self-destructed at the same time, I realized that I had no major personal successes because I'd blindly believed in others' goals and invested all my effort in them. Then I looked over my past to find occurrences where I'd made others worse off by manipulating their motivations, and found plenty of such occurrences. So I resolved to cut this thing out of my life altogether, never be the manipulator or the manipulatee. This might be an overcorrection but I feel it's served me very well in the 4 years since I adopted it. A big class...
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July Part 1