“You have a very small probability of making money,” he said. “But if you’re right, you’ll never see a public plane again.”
another quote:
"I did 700,000 trades in career, was "wrong" on between 650,000 and 695,000."
We can assume that he is either lucky, or well calibrated, since he has made quite a bit of money over the years betting on events with very long odds.