Constant vigilance when dealing with oracles!
I agree with all points regarding actual risks which match my own actions and the recommendations I give friends and family.
The only point where my probability estimates seems to noticeable differs from yours is with HCQ:
11. Best scientific consensus ends up being that hydroxychloroquine was significantly effective: 20%
I sold to 15%, given studies are actively being halted let’s knock that down to 10% now.
I think it is still relatively likely that there are combinations of HCQ with esp. Zinc that might work. I have updated toward them not working by now but would still give them at least 40%. Pure HCQ obviously not. I would offer a bet between your 10% and my 40% i.e. 1 to 3 that in the end a treatment with HCQ plus other active ingredients turns out to be effective.
Disclaimer: I follow ScottAdamsSays on Twitter and while he is also uncertain the potential upsides seem to be huge. He mentions use as a prophylactic for personell at risk like medical and police. He pushes further looking into it and there are many posts about other countries using combinations of HCQ with Zinc and others. You mention Zinc yourself. It seems plausible that Zinc is the active ingredient and HCQ enables its uptake. I seem to remember that CellBioGuy also wrote something along these lines.
This is also how we do it. Works well for e.g. Set or Zoff im Zoo.
The result is that the kids reach a surprising level of proficiency very quickly. We routinely play Talisman, Risk (legacy!) with an 8-year-old.
Other recipes my kids like to do (and have been doing since they are about 7):
I'm fine with their dishes not having all the expected components (protein, carbohydrates, vegetable). It actually improves their intake of vegetables/fruits when that is the only thing available. Just over the course of the day all parts should be there.
Seems like Algeria and Morocco improved after starting to use HCQ;
Wait until a situation comes up where you are torn between two alternatives with potential high loss/gain. Then ask: "Among situations A and B should I choose A?"
Relevant recent post with good summary of many recent findings even better than the SSC post about mask wearing:
Author Sui Huang is working for the NYC Institute for Systems Biology. I'm not affiliated or anything.
Agree. This is definitely not intended as a replacement for proper care.
Actually it looks more like 400$ - including shipping and taxes. Plus the risk that it will get there at all or not in time.
Depends on the level of emergency. I have a mild case of asthma and if I catch it at a time the medical system is overwhelmed I think I would choose this. Measuring blood oxygen levels is relatively easy: I already got a 20€ blood oxymeter. If it goes up it is enough oxygen?